Figure 1.

Conceptual diagram of modeling approach, with available input data in grey boxes and modeled components in white boxes, connected by arrows representing modeling functions. Ecosystem services are modelled as a function of forecast changes in environmental condition using ecological production functions (EPFs). Human well-being domains (HWd) are modelled as a function of ecosystem (Ses), social (Ss), and economic (Sec) services using ecological benefits functions (EBFs). Social and economic services are adjusted relative to changing ecosystem services through a covariance matrix. Data sources and spatial scale are in italics.