Table 2.
APC model analysis of TBL cancer morbidity among females and males in both countries
| Morbidity | China | The United States | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Female | Male | Female | Male | |||||||||||||
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| Coef. † | 95% CI† | p-value | Coef. | 95% CI | p-value | Coef. | 95% CI | p-value | Coef. | 95% CI | p-value | |||||
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| LL† | UL† | LL | UL | LL | UL | LL | UL | |||||||||
| Age (years) | ||||||||||||||||
| 20-24 | -2.40 | -3.37 | -1.43 | 0.000 | -2.61 | -3.43 | -1.80 | 0.000 | -3.44 | -4.96 | -1.91 | 0.000 | -3.42 | -4.73 | -2.10 | 0.000 |
| 25-29 | -1.65 | -2.23 | -1.06 | 0.000 | -1.83 | -2.30 | -1.35 | 0.000 | -2.66 | -3.59 | -1.74 | 0.000 | -2.76 | -3.62 | -1.91 | 0.000 |
| 30-34 | -1.15 | -1.60 | -0.69 | 0.000 | -1.32 | -1.69 | -0.95 | 0.000 | -1.79 | -2.41 | -1.16 | 0.000 | -2.04 | -2.65 | -1.43 | 0.000 |
| 35-39 | -0.94 | -1.33 | -0.54 | 0.000 | -1.11 | -1.42 | -0.80 | 0.000 | -1.01 | -1.48 | -0.55 | 0.000 | -1.26 | -1.70 | -0.81 | 0.000 |
| 40-44 | -0.45 | -0.75 | -0.14 | 0.004 | -0.57 | -0.81 | -0.34 | 0.000 | -0.31 | -0.67 | 0.04 | 0.086 | -0.48 | -0.81 | -0.14 | 0.005 |
| 45-49 | -0.05 | -0.29 | 0.19 | 0.682 | -0.13 | -0.31 | 0.06 | 0.174 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.56 | 0.054 | 0.23 | -0.02 | 0.49 | 0.074 |
| 50-54 | 0.29 | 0.10 | 0.49 | 0.003 | 0.34 | 0.20 | 0.49 | 0.000 | 0.78 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.000 | 0.83 | 0.64 | 1.03 | 0.000 |
| 55-59 | 0.57 | 0.41 | 0.74 | 0.000 | 0.73 | 0.61 | 0.85 | 0.000 | 1.18 | 1.01 | 1.36 | 0.000 | 1.29 | 1.14 | 1.45 | 0.000 |
| 60-64 | 1.01 | 0.87 | 1.15 | 0.000 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 0.000 | 1.49 | 1.34 | 1.65 | 0.000 | 1.64 | 1.51 | 1.77 | 0.000 |
| 65-69 | 1.34 | 1.20 | 1.47 | 0.000 | 1.53 | 1.43 | 1.64 | 0.000 | 1.73 | 1.58 | 1.89 | 0.000 | 1.88 | 1.74 | 2.02 | 0.000 |
| 70-74 | 1.62 | 1.47 | 1.77 | 0.000 | 1.82 | 1.70 | 1.94 | 0.000 | 1.86 | 1.67 | 2.05 | 0.000 | 2.02 | 1.85 | 2.19 | 0.000 |
| 75-79 | 1.80 | 1.61 | 1.98 | 0.000 | 1.94 | 1.80 | 2.08 | 0.000 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.12 | 0.000 | 2.05 | 1.83 | 2.27 | 0.000 |
| Period (year) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1992 | -0.24 | -0.38 | -0.09 | 0.002 | -0.28 | -0.39 | -0.17 | 0.000 | -0.36 | -0.53 | -0.18 | 0.000 | -0.20 | -0.36 | -0.04 | 0.015 |
| 1997 | -0.18 | -0.29 | -0.08 | 0.001 | -0.23 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.000 | -0.16 | -0.27 | -0.04 | 0.006 | -0.09 | -0.19 | 0.01 | 0.069 |
| 2002 | -0.11 | -0.19 | -0.03 | 0.009 | -0.10 | -0.15 | -0.04 | 0.000 | -0.01 | -0.07 | 0.05 | 0.715 | -0.01 | -0.06 | 0.04 | 0.635 |
| 2007 | -0.03 | -0.11 | 0.05 | 0.463 | -0.02 | -0.07 | 0.04 | 0.554 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 0.034 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.06 | 0.871 |
| 2012 | 0.17 | 0.07 | 0.27 | 0.001 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.000 | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.27 | 0.008 | 0.06 | -0.04 | 0.17 | 0.226 |
| 2017 | 0.39 | 0.26 | 0.53 | 0.000 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 0.000 | 0.30 | 0.13 | 0.48 | 0.001 | 0.24 | 0.08 | 0.40 | 0.003 |
| Cohort (year) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1917-1921 | 0.53 | 0.23 | 0.84 | 0.001 | 0.62 | 0.38 | 0.86 | 0.000 | 1.05 | 0.68 | 1.42 | 0.000 | 1.29 | 0.96 | 1.62 | 0.000 |
| 1922-1926 | 0.59 | 0.34 | 0.85 | 0.000 | 0.69 | 0.49 | 0.90 | 0.000 | 1.06 | 0.75 | 1.37 | 0.000 | 1.22 | 0.94 | 1.50 | 0.000 |
| 1927-1931 | 0.66 | 0.44 | 0.88 | 0.000 | 0.76 | 0.58 | 0.94 | 0.000 | 1.03 | 0.76 | 1.30 | 0.000 | 1.14 | 0.90 | 1.38 | 0.000 |
| 1932-1936 | 0.69 | 0.49 | 0.89 | 0.000 | 0.76 | 0.59 | 0.92 | 0.000 | 0.95 | 0.71 | 1.20 | 0.000 | 1.01 | 0.80 | 1.23 | 0.000 |
| 1937-1941 | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.86 | 0.000 | 0.70 | 0.54 | 0.86 | 0.000 | 0.84 | 0.60 | 1.07 | 0.000 | 0.84 | 0.63 | 1.05 | 0.000 |
| 1942-1946 | 0.54 | 0.34 | 0.74 | 0.000 | 0.55 | 0.39 | 0.72 | 0.000 | 0.67 | 0.43 | 0.91 | 0.000 | 0.64 | 0.43 | 0.86 | 0.000 |
| 1947-1951 | 0.49 | 0.26 | 0.71 | 0.000 | 0.53 | 0.35 | 0.72 | 0.000 | 0.47 | 0.20 | 0.74 | 0.001 | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.68 | 0.000 |
| 1952-1956 | 0.53 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 0.000 | 0.61 | 0.40 | 0.81 | 0.000 | 0.23 | -0.09 | 0.54 | 0.161 | 0.21 | -0.07 | 0.50 | 0.137 |
| 1957-1961 | 0.37 | 0.07 | 0.67 | 0.014 | 0.46 | 0.23 | 0.70 | 0.000 | 0.08 | -0.29 | 0.44 | 0.688 | 0.05 | -0.28 | 0.38 | 0.768 |
| 1962-1966 | 0.10 | -0.25 | 0.45 | 0.566 | 0.14 | -0.13 | 0.42 | 0.311 | -0.03 | -0.45 | 0.40 | 0.895 | -0.14 | -0.52 | 0.25 | 0.482 |
| 1967-1971 | 0.07 | -0.32 | 0.46 | 0.719 | 0.13 | -0.18 | 0.44 | 0.411 | -0.25 | -0.74 | 0.24 | 0.312 | -0.43 | -0.88 | 0.02 | 0.062 |
| 1972-1976 | -0.21 | -0.66 | 0.24 | 0.369 | -0.22 | -0.58 | 0.14 | 0.233 | -0.59 | -1.16 | -0.02 | 0.044 | -0.78 | -1.32 | -0.24 | 0.004 |
| 1977-1981 | -0.54 | -1.10 | 0.03 | 0.062 | -0.68 | -1.15 | -0.22 | 0.004 | -0.86 | -1.56 | -0.16 | 0.016 | -0.99 | -1.66 | -0.32 | 0.004 |
| 1982-1986 | -0.79 | -1.50 | -0.07 | 0.031 | -0.93 | -1.52 | -0.34 | 0.002 | -1.01 | -1.90 | -0.12 | 0.027 | -0.99 | -1.84 | -0.15 | 0.021 |
| 1987-1991 | -0.95 | -1.83 | -0.06 | 0.037 | -1.08 | -1.81 | -0.35 | 0.004 | -1.07 | -2.29 | 0.14 | 0.083 | -1.03 | -2.17 | 0.11 | 0.077 |
| 1992-1996 | -1.18 | -2.48 | 0.12 | 0.075 | -1.27 | -2.33 | -0.21 | 0.018 | -1.20 | -3.12 | 0.71 | 0.217 | -1.12 | -2.81 | 0.57 | 0.192 |
| 1997-2001 | -1.58 | -4.60 | 1.45 | 0.307 | -1.78 | -4.41 | 0.85 | 0.184 | -1.35 | -5.42 | 2.71 | 0.514 | -1.37 | -4.94 | 2.21 | 0.454 |
| Constance | 2.68 | 2.47 | 2.90 | 0.000 | 3.36 | 3.17 | 3.54 | 0.000 | 3.04 | 2.75 | 3.33 | 0.000 | 3.35 | 3.09 | 3.60 | 0.000 |
†
APC model, Age-Period-Cohort model; Coef: coefficient; CI: confidence interval; LL: Lower limit; UL: Upper limit.