Table 3.
APC model analysis of TBL cancer mortality females and males in both countries
| Mortality | China | The United States | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Female | Male | Female | Male | |||||||||||||
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| Coef.† | 95% CI† | p-value | Coef. | 95% CI | p-value | Coef. | 95% CI | p-value | Coef. | 95% CI | p-value | |||||
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| LL† | UL† | LL | UL | LL | UL | LL | UL | |||||||||
| Age (years) | ||||||||||||||||
| 20-24 | -2.51 | -3.67 | -1.35 | 0.000 | -2.74 | -3.72 | -1.76 | 0.000 | -3.58 | -5.71 | -1.45 | 0.001 | -3.55 | -5.28 | -1.82 | 0.000 |
| 25-29 | -1.92 | -2.68 | -1.17 | 0.000 | -2.12 | -2.73 | -1.51 | 0.000 | -2.96 | -4.34 | -1.59 | 0.000 | -3.04 | -4.24 | -1.84 | 0.000 |
| 30-34 | -1.33 | -1.90 | -0.77 | 0.000 | -1.52 | -1.97 | -1.07 | 0.000 | -1.99 | -2.88 | -1.10 | 0.000 | -2.22 | -3.03 | -1.40 | 0.000 |
| 35-39 | -1.01 | -1.48 | -0.55 | 0.000 | -1.19 | -1.56 | -0.83 | 0.000 | -1.10 | -1.74 | -0.46 | 0.001 | -1.32 | -1.90 | -0.75 | 0.000 |
| 40-44 | -0.44 | -0.80 | -0.09 | 0.013 | -0.55 | -0.82 | -0.28 | 0.000 | -0.29 | -0.78 | 0.20 | 0.242 | -0.44 | -0.87 | -0.01 | 0.045 |
| 45-49 | -0.02 | -0.30 | 0.26 | 0.869 | -0.08 | -0.29 | 0.13 | 0.456 | 0.34 | -0.04 | 0.72 | 0.077 | 0.31 | -0.02 | 0.64 | 0.064 |
| 50-54 | 0.32 | 0.09 | 0.54 | 0.006 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 0.58 | 0.000 | 0.86 | 0.56 | 1.15 | 0.000 | 0.91 | 0.66 | 1.17 | 0.000 |
| 55-59 | 0.63 | 0.44 | 0.81 | 0.000 | 0.80 | 0.66 | 0.93 | 0.000 | 1.26 | 1.02 | 1.49 | 0.000 | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.58 | 0.000 |
| 60-64 | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.24 | 0.000 | 1.28 | 1.16 | 1.39 | 0.000 | 1.58 | 1.38 | 1.79 | 0.000 | 1.72 | 1.55 | 1.90 | 0.000 |
| 65-69 | 1.44 | 1.28 | 1.61 | 0.000 | 1.64 | 1.51 | 1.76 | 0.000 | 1.83 | 1.61 | 2.06 | 0.000 | 1.96 | 1.78 | 2.15 | 0.000 |
| 70-74 | 1.77 | 1.58 | 1.96 | 0.000 | 1.96 | 1.81 | 2.11 | 0.000 | 2.00 | 1.72 | 2.27 | 0.000 | 2.11 | 1.88 | 2.35 | 0.000 |
| 75-79 | 2.01 | 1.77 | 2.25 | 0.000 | 2.13 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 0.000 | 2.06 | 1.70 | 2.41 | 0.000 | 2.17 | 1.87 | 2.47 | 0.000 |
| Period (year) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1992 | -0.18 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.044 | -0.24 | -0.38 | -0.11 | 0.000 | -0.29 | -0.54 | -0.04 | 0.021 | -0.16 | -0.37 | 0.06 | 0.154 |
| 1997 | -0.13 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.031 | -0.20 | -0.29 | -0.11 | 0.000 | -0.15 | -0.30 | 0.01 | 0.059 | -0.09 | -0.22 | 0.04 | 0.176 |
| 2002 | -0.07 | -0.16 | 0.01 | 0.097 | -0.07 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.021 | -0.03 | -0.10 | 0.05 | 0.455 | -0.03 | -0.09 | 0.04 | 0.415 |
| 2007 | -0.03 | -0.11 | 0.06 | 0.545 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.06 | 0.946 | 0.06 | -0.02 | 0.13 | 0.156 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.06 | 0.986 |
| 2012 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.054 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 0.27 | 0.000 | 0.12 | -0.03 | 0.28 | 0.126 | 0.04 | -0.09 | 0.18 | 0.553 |
| 2017 | 0.30 | 0.13 | 0.46 | 0.000 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 0.45 | 0.000 | 0.29 | 0.05 | 0.54 | 0.020 | 0.23 | 0.02 | 0.44 | 0.033 |
| Cohort (year) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1917-1921 | 0.63 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.001 | 0.74 | 0.45 | 1.03 | 0.000 | 1.14 | 0.62 | 1.66 | 0.000 | 1.39 | 0.95 | 1.83 | 0.000 |
| 1922-1926 | 0.68 | 0.37 | 0.99 | 0.000 | 0.79 | 0.54 | 1.04 | 0.000 | 1.14 | 0.70 | 1.59 | 0.000 | 1.30 | 0.92 | 1.67 | 0.000 |
| 1927-1931 | 0.74 | 0.46 | 1.01 | 0.000 | 0.84 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 0.000 | 1.11 | 0.72 | 1.49 | 0.000 | 1.21 | 0.89 | 1.53 | 0.000 |
| 1932-1936 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 1.01 | 0.000 | 0.82 | 0.62 | 1.03 | 0.000 | 1.03 | 0.68 | 1.38 | 0.000 | 1.07 | 0.79 | 1.36 | 0.000 |
| 1937-1941 | 0.71 | 0.46 | 0.96 | 0.000 | 0.75 | 0.54 | 0.95 | 0.000 | 0.90 | 0.57 | 1.23 | 0.000 | 0.89 | 0.61 | 1.16 | 0.000 |
| 1942-1946 | 0.59 | 0.33 | 0.84 | 0.000 | 0.58 | 0.37 | 0.79 | 0.000 | 0.72 | 0.37 | 1.06 | 0.000 | 0.67 | 0.39 | 0.96 | 0.000 |
| 1947-1951 | 0.52 | 0.23 | 0.80 | 0.000 | 0.54 | 0.31 | 0.77 | 0.000 | 0.51 | 0.12 | 0.89 | 0.010 | 0.45 | 0.13 | 0.77 | 0.006 |
| 1952-1956 | 0.54 | 0.22 | 0.86 | 0.001 | 0.59 | 0.33 | 0.85 | 0.000 | 0.24 | -0.20 | 0.69 | 0.284 | 0.21 | -0.16 | 0.59 | 0.260 |
| 1957-1961 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.049 | 0.44 | 0.14 | 0.74 | 0.004 | 0.07 | -0.44 | 0.59 | 0.779 | 0.04 | -0.39 | 0.48 | 0.848 |
| 1962-1966 | 0.09 | -0.35 | 0.52 | 0.687 | 0.12 | -0.22 | 0.47 | 0.489 | -0.05 | -0.64 | 0.55 | 0.881 | -0.16 | -0.67 | 0.35 | 0.549 |
| 1967-1971 | 0.06 | -0.43 | 0.54 | 0.824 | 0.12 | -0.27 | 0.51 | 0.546 | -0.28 | -0.98 | 0.41 | 0.419 | -0.46 | -1.05 | 0.14 | 0.133 |
| 1972-1976 | -0.23 | -0.79 | 0.34 | 0.430 | -0.24 | -0.69 | 0.21 | 0.301 | -0.63 | -1.44 | 0.17 | 0.125 | -0.81 | -1.52 | -0.11 | 0.024 |
| 1977-1981 | -0.58 | -1.28 | 0.13 | 0.109 | -0.71 | -1.28 | -0.13 | 0.016 | -0.91 | -1.90 | 0.07 | 0.068 | -1.03 | -1.91 | -0.15 | 0.021 |
| 1982-1986 | -0.83 | -1.73 | 0.08 | 0.073 | -0.98 | -1.73 | -0.23 | 0.010 | -1.08 | -2.35 | 0.19 | 0.096 | -1.05 | -2.18 | 0.08 | 0.067 |
| 1987-1991 | -1.03 | -2.21 | 0.15 | 0.087 | -1.16 | -2.13 | -0.19 | 0.019 | -1.15 | -2.93 | 0.63 | 0.205 | -1.09 | -2.66 | 0.47 | 0.172 |
| 1992-1996 | -1.29 | -3.06 | 0.49 | 0.155 | -1.38 | -2.81 | 0.06 | 0.060 | -1.29 | -4.16 | 1.57 | 0.376 | -1.20 | -3.57 | 1.17 | 0.322 |
| 1997-2001 | -1.72 | -5.71 | 2.27 | 0.398 | -1.88 | -5.28 | 1.51 | 0.277 | -1.46 | -7.25 | 4.34 | 0.622 | -1.44 | -6.21 | 3.32 | 0.553 |
| Constance | 2.46 | 2.17 | 2.75 | 0.000 | 3.15 | 2.91 | 3.39 | 0.000 | 2.58 | 2.16 | 3.00 | 0.000 | 2.98 | 2.63 | 3.33 | 0.000 |
†
APC model, Age-Period-Cohort model; Coef: coefficient; CI: confidence interval; LL: Lower limit; UL: Upper limit.