Table 24:

Probabilities Used in the Economic Model

Model Parameters	Probability (%)	Standard Error (+/-)	Reference
Pessary
Self manage pessary	20.00	0.025	Assumptiona,b
Successfully fitted
POP	77.94	0.030	Pooled rate41,43,65–73
SUI	77.29	0.026	Pooled rate67–69,71,72,74
Discontinuation rate	See reference	—	Appendix 7, Figure A1
Pelvic floor muscle training
Discontinuation rate	See reference	—	Appendix 7, Figure A2
Surgery—SUI
Eligible and want surgery	62.00	0.031	Brazzeli et al, 201975
Surgery success	83.3	0.005	Ford et al, 201776
Reoperation—SUI
Eligible and want reoperation	75.00	—	Kilonzo et al, 200477
Reoperation success	79.20	0.028	Van der Doelen et al, 201578
Surgically repaired—SUI
Symptoms return (biannual)
Year 1–5	0.95	0.002	Ford et al, 201776
Year 5+	0.55	0.002	Ford et al, 201776
Surgery—POP
Eligible and want surgery	55.02	0.031	Patnam et al, 201979
Surgery success	94.35	0.010	Brubaker et al, 201080
Reoperation—POP
Eligible and want reoperation	80.00	—	Assumptiona
Reoperation success	85.00	0.012	Assumptiona
Surgically repaired—POP
Symptoms return (biannual)
Year 1–2	0.76	—	Jacklin & Duckett, 201381
Year 2+	0.19	—	Jacklin & Duckett, 201381

Abbreviations: POP, pelvic organ prolapse; SUI, stress urinary incontinence.

^aEmail communication, Aisling Clancy, MD, January 7, 2020.

^bEmail communication, Jennifer Skelly, PhD, December 31, 2019.