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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 May 19.
Published in final edited form as: Adv Neural Inf Process Syst. 2020 Dec;33:18296–18307.

Table 9:

Gamma simulation, uncensored (full results)

λ 0 1 5 10 50 100 500 1000

Log-Norm nll nll 0.381 0.423 0.507 0.580 0.763 0.809 0.870 0.882
d-cal 0.271 0.060 0.021 0.011 0.001 4e-4 1e-4 7e-5
CONC 0.982 0.955 0.931 0.908 0.841 0.835 0.809 0.802

Log-Norm s-crps nll 0.455 0.614 0.730 0.781 0.837 0.848 0.869 0.965
d-cal 0.055 0.014 0.004 0.002 2e-4 1e-4 1e-4 1e-4
conc 0.979 0.975 0.968 0.959 0.940 0.931 0.864 0.811

Cat-ni nll 0.998 1.042 1.129 1.197 1.788 2.098 3.148 3.688
d-cal 0.074 0.023 0.008 0.005 4e-4 4e-4 2e-4 1e-4
conc 0.986 0.986 0.985 0.985 0.973 0.960 0.877 0.748

Cat-i nll 0.997 1.001 1.029 1.083 1.763 2.083 3.167 3.788
d-cal 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.002 5e-4 5e-4 1e-4 1e-4
conc 0.986 0.986 0.986 0.985 0.972 0.960 0.874 0.699

mtlr-NI nll 1.287 1.409 1.589 1.612 2.356 2.590 3.267 3.509
d-cal 0.027 0.027 0.015 0.008 5e-4 2e-4 2e-4 2e-4
conc 0.986 0.986 0.983 0.981 0.952 0.940 0.909 0.899

mtlr-I nll 1.392 1.419 1.616 1.823 2.165 2.612 2.982 3.184
d-cal 0.048 0.034 0.017 0.009 7e-4 2e-4 1e-4 1e-4
conc 0.986 0.986 0.982 0.980 0.958 0.934 0.918 0.917