Table 9:
λ | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 100 | 500 | 1000 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||
Log-Norm nll | nll | 0.381 | 0.423 | 0.507 | 0.580 | 0.763 | 0.809 | 0.870 | 0.882 |
d-cal | 0.271 | 0.060 | 0.021 | 0.011 | 0.001 | 4e-4 | 1e-4 | 7e-5 | |
CONC | 0.982 | 0.955 | 0.931 | 0.908 | 0.841 | 0.835 | 0.809 | 0.802 | |
| |||||||||
Log-Norm s-crps | nll | 0.455 | 0.614 | 0.730 | 0.781 | 0.837 | 0.848 | 0.869 | 0.965 |
d-cal | 0.055 | 0.014 | 0.004 | 0.002 | 2e-4 | 1e-4 | 1e-4 | 1e-4 | |
conc | 0.979 | 0.975 | 0.968 | 0.959 | 0.940 | 0.931 | 0.864 | 0.811 | |
| |||||||||
Cat-ni | nll | 0.998 | 1.042 | 1.129 | 1.197 | 1.788 | 2.098 | 3.148 | 3.688 |
d-cal | 0.074 | 0.023 | 0.008 | 0.005 | 4e-4 | 4e-4 | 2e-4 | 1e-4 | |
conc | 0.986 | 0.986 | 0.985 | 0.985 | 0.973 | 0.960 | 0.877 | 0.748 | |
| |||||||||
Cat-i | nll | 0.997 | 1.001 | 1.029 | 1.083 | 1.763 | 2.083 | 3.167 | 3.788 |
d-cal | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 5e-4 | 5e-4 | 1e-4 | 1e-4 | |
conc | 0.986 | 0.986 | 0.986 | 0.985 | 0.972 | 0.960 | 0.874 | 0.699 | |
| |||||||||
mtlr-NI | nll | 1.287 | 1.409 | 1.589 | 1.612 | 2.356 | 2.590 | 3.267 | 3.509 |
d-cal | 0.027 | 0.027 | 0.015 | 0.008 | 5e-4 | 2e-4 | 2e-4 | 2e-4 | |
conc | 0.986 | 0.986 | 0.983 | 0.981 | 0.952 | 0.940 | 0.909 | 0.899 | |
| |||||||||
mtlr-I | nll | 1.392 | 1.419 | 1.616 | 1.823 | 2.165 | 2.612 | 2.982 | 3.184 |
d-cal | 0.048 | 0.034 | 0.017 | 0.009 | 7e-4 | 2e-4 | 1e-4 | 1e-4 | |
conc | 0.986 | 0.986 | 0.982 | 0.980 | 0.958 | 0.934 | 0.918 | 0.917 |