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. 2020 Sep 14;2020(9):CD013574. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013574.pub2

Fang 2020.

Study characteristics
Study design Modelling study
SEIR model
R0 = NR; probability of infection per exposure 10%; frequency of exposure 10; incubation period 7 days; average recovery time 10.25 days
Objectives To simulate the spread dynamics of a COVID‐19 outbreak and the impact of different control measures, to conduct a sensitivity analysis to identify the key factor(s), to plot the trend curve of the effective reproduction number, and to perform data fitting after the simulation
Study details Data from COVID‐19 outbreak in China and former studies concerning COVID‐19
n = 1,000,000
Population consistent with the size of Wuhan city
Interventions
  • Spontaneous household quarantine by citizens

  • Strict exit screening

  • Massive online teaching in the postponed semester

  • Larger scale of cancellation of mass gatherings

Notes