Skip to main content
. 2021 May 19;156(7):654–661. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2021.1802

Table 4. Univariate and Multivariate Analysis of Variables for Association With HGD.

Variables Patient groupa P value OR (95% CI)b P value
LGD (n = 185) HGD (n = 63)
Surveillance time, median (IQR), mo 38 (20-70) 34 (17-59) .09 NA NA
Age at diagnosis, median (IQR), y 63 (56-72) 66 (58-74) .23 NA NA
Diameter, median (IQR), mm
Initial 20 (13-28) 25 (15-35) .10 NA NA
Final 30 (20-37) 32 (21-45) .09 NA NA
Growth rate, mm/y
Median (IQR) 1.32 (0-3.2) 1.62 (0-4.3) .62 NA NA
≥5 58 (31.4) 25 (39.7) .28 NA NA
Size ≥30 mm 89 (48.1) 33 (52.4) .47 NA NA
Pancreatitis 39 (21.1) 21 (33.3) .06 NA NA
Jaundice 1 (0.5) 0 NA NA NA
Thick walls 28 (15.1) 7 (11.1) .53 NA NA
MPD, mm
5-9 67 (36.2) 30 (47.6) .10 NA NA
≥10 23 (12.4) 14 (22.2) .06 NA NA
Nonenhancing mural nodule 31 (16.8) 13 (20.6) .33 NA NA
Enhancing mural nodule 4 (2.2) 5 (7.9) .046 NA NA
WF at diagnosis 70 (37.8) 34 (54.0) .03 NA NA
WF developed during surveillance
Additional 20 (10.8) 13 (20.6) .047 2.43 (1.12-5.28) .03
New 72 (38.9) 15 (23.8) .03 0.66 (0.32-1.33) .24
HRS at diagnosis 9 (4.8) 6 (9.5) >.99
From WF to HRS during surveillance 8 (4.3) 8 (12.7) .02 3.74 (1.33-10.55) .01

Abbreviations: HGD, high-grade dysplasia; HRS, high-risk stigmata; IQR, interquartile range; LGD, low-grade dysplasia; MPD, main pancreatic duct; NA, not applicable; OR, odds ratio; WF, worrisome feature.

a

Unless otherwise indicated, data are expressed as number (percentage) of patients.

b

After a collinearity assessment, only 3 variables were evaluated through a binary logistic regression model.