Table 2.

Model parameters with telemonitoring intervention

Type of parameter	Parameter		Probabilitya	Source	Lowb	Highb
Location of first encounter	Inpatient		.20	[13]	.10	.30
	Outpatient		.80		.90	.70
Volume of ascites	Inpatient	Mild	.20	[15]	.30	.10
		Moderate	.60		.60	.60
		Large	.20		.10	.30
	Outpatient	Mild	.40		.50	.30
		Moderate	.50		.50	.50
		Large	.10		.00	.20
Response to therapy	Mild	Ascites resolves	.92	[5–9]	1.00	.82
		Partially improves	.07		.00	.07
		No response	.01		.00	.11
	Moderate	Ascites resolves	.65		.75	.55
		Partially improves	.30		.35	.30
		No response	.05		.00	.15
	Large	Ascites resolves	.35		.45	.25
		Partially improves	.50		.50	.50
		No response	.15		.05	.25
Type of treatment complication	Ascites resolves	No complication	.82	[5–9]	.92	.72
		Minor complication	.14		.08	.14
		Major complication	.04		.00	.14
	Partially improves	No complication	.50		.60	.40
		Minor complication	.25		.25	.25
		Major complication	.25		.15	.35
	No response	No complication	.20		.30	.10
		Minor complication	.35		.35	.35
		Major complication	.45		.35	.55
Subsequent care encounters	No complication	0, 1, 2 visits	.10, .70, .20	[5–9]	.20, .70, .10	.00, .70, .30
		0, 2, 6 LVPs	.70, .20, .10		.80, .20, .00	.60, .20, .20
		0, 1, 2 admits	.90, .08, .02		1.00, .00, .00	.80, .08, .12
	Minor complication	0, 1, 2 visits	.05, .45, .50		.15, .45, .40	.00, .40, .60
		0, 2, 6 LVPs	.50, .35, .15		.60, .35, .05	.40, .35, .25
		0, 1, 2 admits	.83, .13, .04		.93, .07, .00	.73, .13, .14
	Major complication	0, 1, 2 visits	.05, .37, .58		.15, .37, .48	.00, .32, .68
		0, 2, 6 LVPs	.20, .45, .35		.30, .45, .25	.10, .45, .45
		0, 1, 2 admits	0, .58, .42		.10, .58, .32	0, .48, .52

^aProbability of each patient experiencing this event within a 6-month window of the first encounter

^b “Low” sensitivity analysis is 10% lower than the predicted probability. “High” sensitivity analysis is 10% higher than the predicted probability

^c3 probabilities on each row