Fig. 2. Modeled transmission dynamics.
a Infections over time by contact layer. b Overdispersion of infections (up until school closures on 12 March), with roughly equal numbers of infections attributable to individuals who transmit to 1–2 others, 3–4 others, 5–7 others, or more than 7 others. c Due to overdispersion, 53% of all primary infections do not cause any secondary infections, while 10% of primary infections are responsible for 50% of secondary infections. Annotations show the number of transmissions per primary infection, corresponding to each bar of panel b. d Infections as a function of symptom onset, showing that slightly over half of infections are transmitted by symptomatic individuals.