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. 2021 May 21;24(5):e25723. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25723

Table 2.

Predictors of no follow‐up visit and attrition during Year 1, Years 2 to 4 and Years 5 to 10 following ART initiation among HIV‐positive adults in West Africa. IeDEA West‐Africa collaboration, 2002 to 2018

No follow‐up (n = 71,283)

Year 1 (n = 56,811

PY = 50,375)

Years 2 to 4 (n = 51,985

PY = 129,348)

Years 5 to 10 (n = 37,204

PY = 130,284)

n % ORa [IC 95%] p‐value PY IR/100 PY HRa [IC 95%] p‐value PY IR/100 PY HRa [IC 95%] p‐value PY IR/100 PY HRa [IC 95%] p‐value
Sex <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.016
Men 24390 5.1 1.25 [1.15; 1.35] 16498 22.6 1.22 [1.17; 1.27] 41930 10.3 1.08[1.04; 1.12] 41621 11.9 1.05[1.01; 1.08]
Women 46893 4.0 1 33877 17.5 1 87418 08.9 1 88663 10.3 1
Age at baseline <0.020 <0.001 <0.001 0.001
<30 years 16334 4.0 1 11497 20.1 1 29141 10.7 1 29517 12.7 1
30 to 40 years 29037 4.2 0.88 [0.79; 0.97] 20745 18.3 0.87 [0.83; 092] 53689 08.9 0.84 [0.80; 0.87] 55297 10.4 0.90 [0.86; 0.94]
>40 years 25912 4.8 0.87 [0.78; 0.96] 18133 19.6 0.90[0.85; 0.95] 46518 09.1 0.83 [0.79; 0.87] 45470 10.1 0.93 [0.89; 0.97]
Year of ART initiation <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
Prior to 2006 16937 3.7 1 10896 16.4 1 32059 07.6 1 51484 07.5 1
2006 to 2010 39970 4.2 1.51 [1.27; 1.79] 29114 17.9 1.10 [1.04; 1.16] 79803 08.4 1.08 [1.03; 1.14] 74682 13.0 2.34 [2.25; 2.44]
2011 to 2014 14376 5.7 2.23 [1.85; 2.68] 10365 25.7 1.61 [1.52; 1.72] 17485 17.1 2.65 [2.51; 2.80] 4118 13.5 7.22 [6.53; 7.98]
Baseline CD4 cell count (Cells/µL) <0.001
<100 16015 4.0 1
100 to 199 13083 2.5 0.61 [0.53; 0.70]
200 to 349 13442 2.3 0.52 [0.46; 0.60]
350 to 500 4510 2.8 0.59 [0.48; 0.71]
≥500 3730 4.0 0.80 [0.66; 0.96]
Missing 20503 7.7 2.27 [2.05; 2.50]
Time depending CD4 cell count (Cells/µL) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
<100 7283 53.1 1 9820 24.6 1 6134 11.1 1
100 to 199 10576 21.1 0.56[0.54; 0.59] 14598 15.5 0.53 [0.50; 0.56] 8519 11.1 0.55 [0.52; 0.59]
200 to 349 15370 13.6 0.44 [0.41; 0.46] 32131 09.6 0.36 [0.35; 0.38] 21309 10.5 0.35 [0.33; 0.37]
350 to 500 9205 8.5 0.37 [0.34; 0.40] 30896 06.8 0.31 [0.29; 0.33] 28276 12.3 0.31 [0.29; 0.33]
≥500 7940 8.6 0.38 [0.35; 0.41] 41903 05.4 0.29 [0.27; 0.31] 66046 14.0 0.31 [0.29; 0.32]

HRa, adjusted cause‐specific Hazard Ratio estimated by Cox regression models; IR/100 PY, incidence rate per 100 person‐years; ORa, adjusted Odd Ratio estimated by the logistic regression model.