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[Preprint]. 2021 Oct 23:2021.05.17.21257241. Originally published 2021 May 18. [Version 3] doi: 10.1101/2021.05.17.21257241

Table 1.

Estimated Number and Percentage of Excess Deaths During March-December 2020 by Age Group and Cause, Males

Total Age<15 Age 15–24 Age 25–44 Ages 45–64 Ages 65–74 Ages 75+
All causes, N 252,199 −446 4,495 21,300 64,862 54,284 107,703
 % of Total across all ages 100.0% −0.2% 1.8% 8.4% 25.7% 21.5% 42.7%
COVID-19 (underlying cause), N 192,928 62 309 5,552 38,555 47,137 101,313
 % of Total across all ages 100.0% 0.0% 0.2% 2.9% 20.0% 24.4% 52.5%
 % of Total excess deaths 76.5% −13.9% 6.9% 26.1% 59.4% 86.8% 94.1%
All causes excluding COVID-19, Na 59,271 −508 4,186 15,748 26,307 7,147 6,390
 % of Total across all ages 100.0% −0.9% 7.1% 26.6% 44.4% 12.1% 10.8%
Modeled separately by underlying cause
Influenza/pneumonia, N 2,441 b b 64c 682 1,100 595
 % of Total across ages 35+ 100.0% b b 2.6% 27.9% 45.1% 24.4%
Other respiratory disease, N −1,150 b b 228 591 −300 −1,669
 % of Total across ages 25+ 100.0% b b −19.8% −51.4% 26.1% 145.2%
Heart disease, N 15,943 b 0 1,589 7,122 2,534 4,698
 % of Total across ages 15+ 100.0% b 0.0% 10.0% 44.7% 15.9% 29.5%
Cerebrovascular disease, N 2,881 b b 187 1,121 615 958
 % of Total across ages 25+ 100.0% b b 6.5% 38.9% 21.3% 33.2%
Cancer, N 266 −24 9 41 672 73 −506
 % of Total across all ages 100.0% −8.9% 3.3% 15.5% 252.6% 27.6% −190.1%
Alzheimer’s disease, N 2,046 b b b 24d 247 1,775
 % of Total across ages 55+ 100.0% b b b 1.2% 12.1% 86.8%
Diabetes, N 7,292 b b 535 2,183 1,947 2,626
 % of Totl across ages 25+ 100.0% b b 7.3% 29.9% 26.7% 36.0%
External causes, N 17,341 189 3,764 8,959 4,869 76 −515
 % of Total across all ages 100.0% 1.1% 21.7% 51.7% 28.1% 0.4% −3.0%
a

Derived by subtracting the reported number of COVID-19 deaths (as the underlying cause) from the estimated number of excess deaths from all causes.

b

These ages were excluded from the model because mortality rates from this cause are extremely low.

c

The model was restricted to ages 35 and older because mortality rates from this cause are exceptionally low below age 35.

d

The model was restricted to ages 55 and older because there are very few deaths from Alzheimer’s disease below age 55.