Table 4.
Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy of high COVID-GRAM scores and CURB-65 scores ≥2 in predicting critical illness and 30-day mortality in 523 patients hospitalized with COVID-19.
| (TP/total positives) | (TN/total negatives) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (95% CI) | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | |||
| Critical illness | ||||||
| High COVID-GRAM score | 59/122 | 51/401 | 0.53 (0.44–0.62) | 0.84 (0.81–0.88) | 0.48 (0.39–0.57) | 0.87 (0.84–0.91) |
| CURB-65 score ≥2 | 71/197 | 39/326 | 0.64 (0.55–0.73) | 0.69 (0.65–0.73) | 0.36 (0.29–0.43) | 0.88 (0.85–0.92) |
| 30-day mortality | ||||||
| High COVID-GRAM score | 56/122 | 385/401 | 0.77 (0.68–0.87) | 0.85 (0.82–0.88) | 0.46 (0.37–0.55) | 0.96 (0.94–0.98) |
| CURB-65 score ≥2 | 62/197 | 10/316 | 0.86 (0.78– 0.94) | 0.70 (0.64–0.75) | 0.31 (0.25–0.38) | 0.97 (0.95–0.99) |
CI, confidence interval; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; TN, true negative; TP, true positive.