Table 1.

Parameter definitions and their baseline values from Kissler et al., 2020, except for $\gamma$ from Verity et al., 2020 and $\beta$ adjusted to have $R_0=2.5$.

Parameter	Value	Meaning
$\beta$	$0.15$	disease transmission/infection rate
K	$1-6$	number of exposed stages
$1/\nu$	5 days	incubation time
$1/\gamma$	$16.6$ days	infectious period/time to hospitalisation (both non-critical and critical care)
$p_A$	$0.5$ (assumed)	proportion of asymptomatic infections
$p_R$	$0.456$ (varies)	proportion of symptomatic infections without the hospital/critical care requirements
$p_H$	$0.0308$ (varies)	proportion of symptomatic infections requiring hospitalisation, but not critical care
$p_C$	$0.0132$ (varies)	proportion of symptomatic infections requiring critical care
$1/{\delta }_H$	8 days	recovery rate for non-critical hospital cases
$1/{\delta }_C$	8 days	average duration from hospital admission to requiring critical care
$1/{\xi }_C$	10 days	recovery rate for admissions requiring critical care
$\mu$	$0.1$ (varies)	death rate for admissions requiring critical care