Table 5.
The comparison of results for effects of treatment and cigarette smoking on visual acuity (letters) change over time in the CAPT study (n = 1052 subjects, 11846 eye visits).
| Effect | Time (mons) | Naïve model (ignore inter-ye correlation and longitudinal correlations) |
Fixed effects† |
Mixed effects§ (Random visit) Δ |
Mixed effects§ (Random intercept) |
GEE£ (Compound symmetry) |
GEE£ (Working independence) |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (SE) | P-value | Beta (SE) | P-value | Beta (SE) | P-value | Beta (SE) | P-value | Beta (SE) | P-value | Beta (SE) | P-value | ||
| Visit | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |||||||
| 0 | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | (ref) | |||||||
| 12 | −0.78 (0.65) | 0.65 | −0.88 (0.80) | 0.27 | −0.88 (0.77) | 0.25 | −0.86 (1.12) | 0.44 | −0.86 (0.61) | 0.16 | −0.78 (0.62) | 0.21 | |
| 24 | −4.27 (1.73) | 0.01 | −4.63 (1.08) | <0.0001 | −4.63 (1.08) | <0.0001 | −4.64(1.14) | <0.0001 | −4.62 (1.06) | <0.0001 | −4.27 (1.11) | 0.0001 | |
| 36 | −6.42 (1.73) | 0.0002 | −6.79 (1.34) | <0.0001 | −6.78 (1.37) | <0.0001 | −6.69 (1.14) | <0.0001 | −6.68 (1.36) | <0.0001 | −6.42 (1.39) | <0.0001 | |
| 48 | −7.89 (1.76) | <0.0001 | −8.50 (1.60) | <0.0001 | −8.51 (1.65) | <0.0001 | −8.23 (1.16) | <0.0001 | −8.19 (1.49) | <0.0001 | −7.89 (1.55) | <0.0001 | |
| 60 | −13.2 (1.77) | <0.0001 | −13.5 (1.89) | <0.0001 | −13.6 (1.94) | <0.0001 | −13.5 (1.17) | <0.0001 | −13.5 (1.99) | <0.0001 | −13.2 (2.06) | <0.0001 | |
| Laser vs. no treatment | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.03 | |||||||
| 0 | 0.03 (0.55) | 0.96 | 0.04 (0.23) | 0.86 | 0.03 (0.18) | 0.89 | 0.03 (0.46) | 0.96 | 0.03 (0.18) | 0.89 | 0.03 (0.18) | 0.89 | |
| 12 | 0.30 (0.55) | 0.59 | 0.28 (0.34) | 0.41 | 0.28 (0.31) | 0.38 | 0.29 (0.46) | 0.54 | 0.30 (0.31) | 0.34 | 0.30 (0.31) | 0.34 | |
| 24 | 1.05 (0.56) | 0.06 | 0.98 (0.43) | 0.02 | 0.98 (0.40) | 0.02 | 1.03 (0.47) | 0.03 | 1.05 (0.40) | 0.009 | 1.05 (0.40) | 0.009 | |
| 36 | 1.10 (0.57) | 0.054 | 1.02 (0.52) | 0.049 | 1.04 (0.48) | 0.03 | 1.06 (0.48) | 0.03 | 1.10 (0.49) | 0.02 | 1.10 (0.49) | 0.02 | |
| 48 | 0.59 (0.58) | 0.31 | 0.72 (0.60) | 0.23 | 0.73 (0.56) | 0.19 | 0.61 (0.48) | 0.21 | 0.59 (0.56) | 0.30 | 0.59 (0.56) | 0.30 | |
| 60 | −0.19 (0.58) | 0.75 | −0.25 (0.70) | 0.72 | −0.25 (0.66) | 0.71 | −0.21 (0.49) | 0.67 | −0.19 (0.67) | 0.78 | −0.19 (0.67) | 0.78 | |
| Current smoking vs. former/no smoking | 0.14 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.002 | 0.01 | 0.01 | |||||||
| 0 | 1.49 (1.20) | 0.21 | 1.48 (0.63) | 0.02 | 1.49 (0.73) | 0.04 | 1.49 (1.34) | 0.27 | 1.49 (0.65) | 0.02 | 1.49 (0.65) | 0.02 | |
| 12 | 2.17 (1.23) | 0.08 | 2.11 (0.96) | 0.03 | 2.11 (1.02) | 0.04 | 2.13 (1.37) | 0.12 | 2.13 (0.81) | 0.009 | 2.17 (0.82) | 0.008 | |
| 24 | 0.26 (1.26) | 0.84 | −0.01 (1.21) | 0.99 | 0.02 (1.27) | 0.99 | −0.01 (1.38) | 0.99 | 0.01 (1.25) | 1.00 | 0.26 (1.27) | 0.84 | |
| 36 | 0.32 (1.25) | 0.80 | 0.19 (1.47) | 0.90 | 0.25 (1.56) | 0.87 | 0.23 (1.38) | 0.87 | 0.24 (1.54) | 0.88 | 0.32 (1.55) | 0.84 | |
| 48 | 0.30 (1.20) | 0.81 | 0.29 (1.72) | 0.86 | 0.33 (1.83) | 0.86 | 0.34 (1.40) | 0.81 | 0.35 (1.65) | 0.83 | 0.30 (1.69) | 0.86 | |
| 60 | −2.90 (1.31) | 0.03 | −2.61 (2.00) | 0.19 | −2.64(2.12) | 0.21 | −2.81 (1.41) | 0.046 | −2.81 (2.11) | 0.18 | −2.90 (2.17) | 0.18 | |
| −2lnL | 93,445 | 81,293 | 81,083 | 87520 | |||||||||
| AIC | 93,447 | 81,339 | 81,191 | 87526 | |||||||||
| QIC | 11867 | 11868 | |||||||||||
| QICu | 11864 | 11864 | |||||||||||
| Covariance parameters | 1 | 24 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |||||||
Fixed effects model using SAS PROC MIXED with the REPEATED OPTION with a UN@UN correlation structure.
Mixed effects model using SAS PROC MIXED with the RANDOM OPTION with random effects for subject and eye within subject for both the intercept and the Visit parameter.
Generalized estimating equation (GEE) model.
Time was modelled as categorical with 6 levels (i.e., months 0,12, 24, 36,48, 60) due to the non-linear decline in visual acuity.