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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Hydrometeorol. 2021 May 13;22(5):1333–1350. doi: 10.1175/jhm-d-20-0128.1

Table 1.

Skill scores of the EnKF method (ability to detect rainfall above various thresholds).

Rainfall threshold POD FAR TS FBIAS
> 0.5 mm h−1 0.92 0.34 0.62 1.40
> 2.5 mm h−1 0.91 0.31 0.65 1.33
> 5 mm h−1 0.92 0.25 0.71 1.22
> 10 mm h−1 0.91 0.19 0.75 1.12
> 20 mm h−1 0.85 0.18 0.71 1.04
> 30 mm h−1 0.76 0.25 0.61 1.02

Statistics are calculated cumulatively for 8 synthetic experiments (cylindrical storms moving in N, W, S, E, NW, NE, SW, SE) with 20 minutes duration each, 1-minute time step, over a domain with 30×30 ground cells. POD (probability of detection) = hits/(hits + misses); FAR (false alarm ratio) = false alarms/(hits + false alarms); TS (threat score) = hits/(hits + misses + false alarms); FBIAS (frequency bias index) = (hits + false alarms)/(hits + misses).