Table 1.
Skill scores of the EnKF method (ability to detect rainfall above various thresholds).
| Rainfall threshold | POD | FAR | TS | FBIAS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| > 0.5 mm h−1 | 0.92 | 0.34 | 0.62 | 1.40 |
| > 2.5 mm h−1 | 0.91 | 0.31 | 0.65 | 1.33 |
| > 5 mm h−1 | 0.92 | 0.25 | 0.71 | 1.22 |
| > 10 mm h−1 | 0.91 | 0.19 | 0.75 | 1.12 |
| > 20 mm h−1 | 0.85 | 0.18 | 0.71 | 1.04 |
| > 30 mm h−1 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 0.61 | 1.02 |
Statistics are calculated cumulatively for 8 synthetic experiments (cylindrical storms moving in N, W, S, E, NW, NE, SW, SE) with 20 minutes duration each, 1-minute time step, over a domain with 30×30 ground cells. POD (probability of detection) = hits/(hits + misses); FAR (false alarm ratio) = false alarms/(hits + false alarms); TS (threat score) = hits/(hits + misses + false alarms); FBIAS (frequency bias index) = (hits + false alarms)/(hits + misses).