Table 4:
Estimated coefficients from complementary log-log models for the transition to first marriage (SES = Educational attainment)
| Variable | Men | Women | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |
| Age | 0.38 [0.12,0.64] | 0.39 [0.13,0.66] | 0.4 [0.13,0.66] | 1.18 [0.89,1.47] | 1.16 [0.87,1.45] | 1.16 [0.87,1.45] |
| Age squared | −0.01 [−0.01,−0.00] | −0.01 [−0.01,−0.00] | −0.01 [−0.01,−0.00] | −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01] | −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01] | −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01] |
| Living arrangements (Reference: Living independently) | ||||||
| Coresidence with parents | −0.83 [−1.10,−0.56] | −0.81 [−1.08,−0.53] | −0.81 [−1.08,−0.54] | −0.42 [−0.66,−0.18] | −0.39 [−0.63,−0.15] | −0.39 [−0.63,−0.15] |
| Region of residence (Reference: Major metropolitan area) | ||||||
| Large city | 0.15 [−0.19,0.49] | 0.12 [−0.22,0.46] | 0.12 [−0.22,0.46] | 0.13 [−0.15,0.41] | 0.11 [−0.17,0.39] | 0.1 [−0.18,0.39] |
| Other | 0.03 [−0.28,0.34] | 0.06 [−0.25,0.37] | 0.06 [−0.25,0.38] | 0.07 [−0.19,0.33] | 0.06 [−0.19,0.32] | 0.06 [−0.20,0.31] |
| Educational attainment (Reference: High school or less) | ||||||
| Junior college/Vocational school | 0.26 [−0.17,0.69] | 0.29 [−0.14,0.72] | 0.35 [−0.17,0.87] | −0.24 [−0.54,0.06] | −0.39 [−0.69,−0.08] | −0.32 [−0.70,0.05] |
| University or more | 0.33 [−0.03,0.70] | 0.24 [−0.12,0.61] | 0.35 [−0.09,0.79] | −0.17 [−0.46,0.13] | −0.4 [−0.70,−0.11] | −0.41 [−0.78,−0.05] |
| Marriage desires (Reference: Definitely want to marry) | ||||||
| Want to marry if possible | −1.26 [−1.57,−0.94] | −0.96 [−1.62,−0.29] | −0.98 [−1.24,−0.73] | −0.91 [−1.44,−0.38] | ||
| Don’t care if I marry or not | −2.22 [−2.93,−1.51] | −2.47 [−3.63,−1.31] | −1.54 [−2.02,−1.07] | −1.56 [−2.49,−0.62] | ||
| Not thinking about marriage/Don’t want to marry | −3.31 [−4.70,−1.91] | −3.74 [−5.72,−1.77] | ||||
| Marriage desires × Educational attainment | ||||||
| Jr. college/Voc. × Want to marry if possible | −0.19 [−1.13,0.75] | −0.28 [−0.96,0.40] | ||||
| Jr. college/Voc. × Don’t care if marry or not | 0 [0.00,0.00] | 0.16 [−1.03,1.34] | ||||
| Jr. college/Voc. × Not thinking/don’t want to marry | – | – | ||||
| University × Want to marry if possible | −0.46 [−1.25,0.33] | 0.07 [−0.60,0.73] | ||||
| University × Don’t care if marry or not | 0.46 [−1.01,1.93] | −0.14 [−1.38,1.11] | ||||
| University × Not thinking/don’t want to marry | 1.21 [−1.57,4.00] | |||||
| Constant | −8.45 [−12.7,−4.2] | −8.26 [−12.5,−4.0] | −8.42 [−12.7,−4.1] | −19.86 [−24.3,−15.4] | −19.33 [−23.8,−14.8] | −19.31 [−23.8,−14.8] |
| Observations | 4,128 | 4,128 | 4,128 | 4,579 | 4,579 | 4,579 |
| Log-likelihood | −833.32 | −777.11 | −776.12 | −1122.24 | −1051.74 | −1050.46 |
Note: Bracketed values show the 95% confidence interval.