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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Demogr Res. 2021 Jan 12;44:67–98. doi: 10.4054/demres.2021.44.3

Table 5:

Estimated coefficients from complementary log-log models for the transition to first marriage (SES=Employment status)

Variable Men Women
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Age 0.12 [−0.15,0.39] 0.14 [−0.13,0.42] 0.14 [−0.13,0.42] 1.07 [0.77,1.36] 1.04 [0.75,1.34] 1.03 [0.74,1.33]
Age squared 0 [−0.01,0.00] 0 [−0.01,0.00] 0 [−0.01,0.00] −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01] −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01] −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01]
Living arrangements (Reference: Living independently)
 Coresidence with parents −0.81 [−1.08,−0.54] −0.78 [−1.05,−0.51] −0.78 [−1.06,−0.51] −0.4 [−0.64,−0.16] −0.35 [−0.59,−0.11] −0.35 [−0.59,−0.11]
Region of residence (Reference: Major metropolitan area)
 Large city 0.13 [−0.22,0.47] 0.09 [−0.25,0.43] 0.09 [−0.25,0.44] 0.14 [−0.15,0.42] 0.13 [−0.15,0.41] 0.13 [−0.15,0.41]
 Other −0.09 [−0.40,0.22] −0.06 [−0.37,0.25] −0.06 [−0.37,0.24] 0.08 [−0.18,0.33] 0.09 [−0.17,0.34] 0.09 [−0.17,0.34]
Employment status (Reference: Nonstandard/part-time)
 Regular/full-time 0.83 [0.37,1.29] 0.73 [0.27,1.19] 0.7 [0.16,1.24] 0.22 [−0.03,0.47] 0.09 [−0.16,0.34] 0.13 [−0.18,0.44]
 Self-employed 0.66 [−0.01,1.33] 0.73 [0.06,1.40] 0.67 [−0.13,1.48] −0.29 [−1.12,0.54] −0.16 [−0.99,0.67] −0.2 [−1.21,0.81]
 Not employed −1.57 [−2.66,−0.48] −1.63 [−2.72,−0.54] −2.11 [−3.60,−0.62] −0.76 [−1.32,−0.21] −0.72 [−1.27,−0.16] −0.72 [−1.40,−0.04]
Marriage desires (Reference: Definitely want to marry)
 Want to marry if possible −1.25 [−1.56,−0.93] −13 [−2.31,−0.29] −0.95 [−1.21,−0.70] −0.97 [−1.46,−0.47]
 Don’t care if 1 marry or not −2.19 [−2.91,−1.48] −2.87 [−4.87,−0.87] −1.47 [−1.94,−0.99] −1.14 [−1.81,−0.46]
 Not thinking about marriage/Don’t want to marry −3.16 [−4.56,−1.77] −3.16 [−4.55,−1.76]
Marriage desires × Employment status
 Regular × Want to marry if possible 0 [−1.07,1.08] 0.04 [−0.54,0.63]
 Regular × Don’t care if marry or not 0.83 [−1.31,2.97] −0.89 [−1.95,0.16]
 Self-employed × Want to marry if possible 0.22 [−1.25,1.70] 0.08 [−1.69,1.85]
 Not employed × Want to marry if possible 1.39 [−0.82,3.59] −0.52 [−2.12,1.08]
 Not employed × Don’t care if marry or not 0.62 [−0.84,2.07]
Constant −4.3 [−8.7,0.1] −4.22 [−8.7,0.3] −4.17 [−8.6,0.3] −18.31 [−22.9,−13.8] −17.82 [−22.4,−13.2] −17.71 [−22.3,−13.1]
Observations 4,128 4,128 4,128 4,579 4,579 4,579
log-likelihood −807.43 −752.61 −751.28 −1113.77 −1049.84 −1046.89

Note: Bracketed values show the 95% confidence interval. The interaction between ‘self-employed’ and ‘don’t care if marry or not’ was not included because it predicts the outcome perfectly.