Table 5:
Estimated coefficients from complementary log-log models for the transition to first marriage (SES=Employment status)
Variable | Men | Women | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |
Age | 0.12 [−0.15,0.39] | 0.14 [−0.13,0.42] | 0.14 [−0.13,0.42] | 1.07 [0.77,1.36] | 1.04 [0.75,1.34] | 1.03 [0.74,1.33] |
Age squared | 0 [−0.01,0.00] | 0 [−0.01,0.00] | 0 [−0.01,0.00] | −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01] | −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01] | −0.02 [−0.02,−0.01] |
Living arrangements (Reference: Living independently) | ||||||
Coresidence with parents | −0.81 [−1.08,−0.54] | −0.78 [−1.05,−0.51] | −0.78 [−1.06,−0.51] | −0.4 [−0.64,−0.16] | −0.35 [−0.59,−0.11] | −0.35 [−0.59,−0.11] |
Region of residence (Reference: Major metropolitan area) | ||||||
Large city | 0.13 [−0.22,0.47] | 0.09 [−0.25,0.43] | 0.09 [−0.25,0.44] | 0.14 [−0.15,0.42] | 0.13 [−0.15,0.41] | 0.13 [−0.15,0.41] |
Other | −0.09 [−0.40,0.22] | −0.06 [−0.37,0.25] | −0.06 [−0.37,0.24] | 0.08 [−0.18,0.33] | 0.09 [−0.17,0.34] | 0.09 [−0.17,0.34] |
Employment status (Reference: Nonstandard/part-time) | ||||||
Regular/full-time | 0.83 [0.37,1.29] | 0.73 [0.27,1.19] | 0.7 [0.16,1.24] | 0.22 [−0.03,0.47] | 0.09 [−0.16,0.34] | 0.13 [−0.18,0.44] |
Self-employed | 0.66 [−0.01,1.33] | 0.73 [0.06,1.40] | 0.67 [−0.13,1.48] | −0.29 [−1.12,0.54] | −0.16 [−0.99,0.67] | −0.2 [−1.21,0.81] |
Not employed | −1.57 [−2.66,−0.48] | −1.63 [−2.72,−0.54] | −2.11 [−3.60,−0.62] | −0.76 [−1.32,−0.21] | −0.72 [−1.27,−0.16] | −0.72 [−1.40,−0.04] |
Marriage desires (Reference: Definitely want to marry) | ||||||
Want to marry if possible | −1.25 [−1.56,−0.93] | −13 [−2.31,−0.29] | −0.95 [−1.21,−0.70] | −0.97 [−1.46,−0.47] | ||
Don’t care if 1 marry or not | −2.19 [−2.91,−1.48] | −2.87 [−4.87,−0.87] | −1.47 [−1.94,−0.99] | −1.14 [−1.81,−0.46] | ||
Not thinking about marriage/Don’t want to marry | −3.16 [−4.56,−1.77] | −3.16 [−4.55,−1.76] | ||||
Marriage desires × Employment status | ||||||
Regular × Want to marry if possible | 0 [−1.07,1.08] | 0.04 [−0.54,0.63] | ||||
Regular × Don’t care if marry or not | 0.83 [−1.31,2.97] | −0.89 [−1.95,0.16] | ||||
Self-employed × Want to marry if possible | 0.22 [−1.25,1.70] | 0.08 [−1.69,1.85] | ||||
Not employed × Want to marry if possible | 1.39 [−0.82,3.59] | −0.52 [−2.12,1.08] | ||||
Not employed × Don’t care if marry or not | 0.62 [−0.84,2.07] | |||||
Constant | −4.3 [−8.7,0.1] | −4.22 [−8.7,0.3] | −4.17 [−8.6,0.3] | −18.31 [−22.9,−13.8] | −17.82 [−22.4,−13.2] | −17.71 [−22.3,−13.1] |
Observations | 4,128 | 4,128 | 4,128 | 4,579 | 4,579 | 4,579 |
log-likelihood | −807.43 | −752.61 | −751.28 | −1113.77 | −1049.84 | −1046.89 |
Note: Bracketed values show the 95% confidence interval. The interaction between ‘self-employed’ and ‘don’t care if marry or not’ was not included because it predicts the outcome perfectly.