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. 2021 May 25;11(5):e042081. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042081

Table 4.

Results from base-case cost-effectiveness analysis, subgroup analyses and longer-term economic model

Scenario Robot-assisted training
(n=257)
EULT
(n=259)
Usual care
(n=254)
ICER Probability of each therapy being cost-effective at the £20 000 WTP threshold
Robot-assisted training EULT Usual care
Base-case analysis
Cost—£, unadjusted, mean (CI)* 5387
(4777 to 5996)
4451
(3548 to 5354)
5387
(4777 to 5996)
QALY—unadjusted, mean (CI)* 0.21
(0.195 to 0.229)
0.23
(0.213 to 0.244)
0.21
(0.194 to 0.230)
ICER (£ per QALY)—adjusted EULT vs usual care† 74 100 0.00 0.19 0.81
Subgroup analysis (less than 3 months—time since stroke)
Cost—£, unadjusted, mean (CI) 5485
(3938 to 7032)
3863
(2527 to 5199)
3328
(1443 to 5213)
QALY—unadjusted, mean (CI)* 0.22
(0.19 to 0.25)
0.24
(0.20 to 0.28)
0.21
(0.17 to 0.25)
ICER (£ per QALY)—adjusted EULT vs usual care† 31 400 0.00 0.41 0.59
Subgroup analysis (3 to 12 months—time since stroke)
Cost—£, unadjusted, mean (CI)* 5790
(4793 to 6786)
5084
(3393 to 6774)
4943
(3228 to 6658)
QALY—unadjusted, mean (CI) 0.20
(0.18 to 0.23)
0.23
(0.20 to 0.25)
0.21
(0.19 to 0.24)
ICER (£ per QALY)—adjusted EULT vs usual care† 79 400 0.04 0.37 0.59
Subgroup analysis (more than 12 months)
Cost—£, unadjusted, mean (CI)* 4822
(4036 to 5728)
3961
(2783 to 5138)
2823
(1299 to 4348)
QALY—unadjusted, mean (CI)* 0.22
(0.18 to 0.25)
0.23
(0.20 to 0.25)
0.21
(0.18 to 0.24)
ICER (£ per QALY)—adjusted EULT vs usual care§ 126 143 0.01 0.15 0.84
Per-protocol analysis
Cost—£, unadjusted, mean (CI)* 5595
(4929 to 6261)
4551
(3596 to 5501)
3785
(2801 to 4770)
QALY—unadjusted, mean (CI)* 0.22
(0.20 to 0.24)
0.23
(0.21 to 0.25)
0.21
(0.19 to 0.23)
ICER (£ per QALY)—adjusted EULT vs usual care† 68 000 0.00 0.17 0.83
Extrapolation to 12 months
Cost—£, unadjusted, mean (CI)* 7538
(6350 to 8725)
6892
(5149 to 8635)
6916
(5003 to 8830)
QALY—unadjusted, mean (CI)* 0.44
(0.40 to 0.48)
0.48
(0.44 to 0.51)
0.45
(0.41 to 0.48)
ICER (£ per QALY)—adjusted EULT vs usual care† 6095 0.10 0.55 0.35

*98.33% CI used throughout the analyses for the three-arm comparison.

†Data adjusted for baseline costs, baseline utility score, study centre, randomised group and time since stroke.

EULT, enhanced upper limb therapy; ICER, incremental cost–effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality adjusted life year; WTP, willingness to pay.