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. 2021 May 26;11:11073. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-90692-8

Table 2.

Number needed to treat to harm for aortic pathologies.

Aortic pathology
(assumed rate ratio)
Assumed baseline incidence of aortic pathology (number of events per 100,000 patient years)
Note: baseline incidence may vary across geography, gender, age, and other clinical characteristics. A range of estimates regarding baseline incidence are provided below for ease of reference to clinicians, who should tailor their decisions accordingly
Number needed to harm (NNH) (95% CI)

Aortic dissection or aneurysm rupture

(Pooled rate ratio: 2.38 [95% CI 1.71 to 3.32])

3 24,155 (95% CI: 14,430 to 46,948)
5 14,493 (95% CI: 8658 to 28,169)
10 7246 (95% CI: 4329 to 14,085)
15 4831 (95% CI: 2886 to 9390)
25 2899 (95% CI: 1732 to 5634)
50 1449 (95% CI: 866 to 2817)
75 966 (95% CI: 577 to 1878)
100 725 (95% CI: 433 to 1408)
125 580 (95% CI: 346 to 1127)
150 483 (95% CI: 289 to 939)

Aortic aneurysm

(Pooled rate ratio: 1.98 [95% CI 1.59 to 2.48])

5 20,408 (95% CI: 13,514 to 33,898)
25 4082 (95% CI: 2703 to 6780)
50 2041 (95% CI: 1351 to 3390)
75 1361 (95% CI: 901 to 2260)
100 1020 (95% CI: 676 to 1695)
125 816 (95% CI: 541 to 1356)
150 680 (95% CI: 450 to 1130)
250 408 (95% CI: 270 to 678)
300 340 (95% CI: 225 to 565)