Table 3.
Dispersal parameter estimates (with their 95% confidence intervals in parentheses) obtained for L. helle butterflies with the Virtual Migration model in 2019. Following the outcome of the Cormack-Jolly-Seber models, no inter-sexual difference in mortality in habitat patches, and consequently also in average adult life-span, was assumed (see the Methods section for details).
Parameter | Females | Males | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Spring generation | Summer generation | Spring generation | Summer generation | |
Mortality in habitat patches (μ) |
0.1915 (0.1558–0.2308) |
0.1873 (0.1734–0.2016) |
0.1915 (0.1558–0.2308) |
0.1873 (0.1734–0.2016) |
Emigration propensity (η) |
0.0567 (0.0249–0.1083) |
0.3155 (0.2686–0.3686) |
0.1559 (0.0847–0.2512) |
0.0662 (0.0507–0.0849) |
Emigration scaling with natal patch area (ξem) |
− 0.1262 (–0.8078–0) |
− 0.0976 (‒0.2238–0) |
0 (− 0.4029–0) |
− 0.2456 (− 0.4748–0) |
Immigration scaling with target patch area (ζim) |
0.4031 (0–1.4788) |
0.0524 (0–0.2370) |
0 (0.–0.3273) |
0 (0–0.2957) |
Dispersal mortality scaling with natal patch connectivity (λ) |
0 (0–3.935) |
0 (0–0.4269) |
0.9257 (0–1.7914) |
0.4022 (0–0.7585) |
Distance dependence of dispersal (α) |
1.3115 (0–4.4841) |
1.3295 (0.7699–1.9699) |
3.1180 (0–4.6790) |
2.8402 (1.9248–3.5694) |
Mean dispersal distance (1/α) [m] |
762 (223–∞) |
752 (508–1299) |
321 (214–∞) |
352 (280–520) |
Average life-span (1/μ‒0.5) [days] |
4.72 (3.83–5.92) |
4.84 (4.46–5.27) |
4.72 (3.83–5.92) |
4.84 (4.46–5.27) |