Table 1.

Total number of new exposed cases, hospitalizations and deaths estimated by scenario.

Scenario *	Stringency Increase	Testing Rate Increase	Exposed Cases	Hospitalizations	Deaths
Scenario 1: Base case	SI = 62	10.6 tests/case *	2,382,172	97,488	18,676
Scenario 2	No increase SI = 62	Mild (×3) *	1,569,006	72,111	15,730
Scenario 3	No increase SI = 62	Moderate (×6) *	957,706	51,212	13,069
Scenario 4	No increase SI = 62	High (×10) *	584,371	37,099	11,058
Scenario 5	No increase SI = 62	High (×10) **	632,381	38,996	11,343
Scenario 6	No increase SI = 62	High (×10) ***	767,814	44,206	12,100
Scenario 7	Moderate increase SI = 73	None *	607,053	38,502	11,440
Scenario 8	Moderate increase SI = 73	Mild (×2) *	532,199	35,450	10,964
Scenario 9	Moderate increase SI = 73	Moderate (×3) *	475,356	33,066	10,577
Scenario 10	Moderate increase SI = 73	High (×10) *	275,255	24,230	9005
Scenario 11	High increase SI = 85	None *	254,751	23,398	8902
Scenario 12	High increase SI = 85	Mild (×2) *	239,284	22,674	8757
Scenario 13	High increase SI = 85	Moderate (×3) *	226,320	22,064	8631

SI: Stringency Index. * All scenarios except 5 and 6 consider a level of sensitivity of 96%. ** 89% sensitivity. *** 73.3% sensitivity.