Table 3.
Population attributable risk for diseases predicting 8-year mortality, stratified by sex and cohort
| Total | % with disease | HR (95% CI) | P-value | PAR. % | % with disease | HR (95% CI) | P-value | PAR. % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cohort 1901-02a | Cohort 1923-24b | |||||||
| Dementia | 29.8 | 2.6 (2.0–3.2) | < .001 | 31.7 | 21.5 | 2.8 (2.2–3.5) | < .001 | 27.7 |
| Cerebrovascular disorders | 18.8 | 1.3 (1.0–1.7) | .043 | 5.4 | 24.3 | 1.4 (1.1–1.7) | .009 | 8.0 |
| Myocardial infarction | 11.7 | 1.8 (1.3–2.4) | < .001 | 8.4 | 19.3 | 1.3 (1.0–1.8) | .029 | 6.2 |
| Heart failure | * | 32.4 | 1.3 (1.1–1.7) | .013 | 9.8 | |||
| Cohort 1901-02c | Cohort 1923-24d | |||||||
| AD | 14.4 | 2.4 (1.8–3.2) | < .001 | 16.6 | 11.6 | 2.8 (2.1–3.8) | < .001 | 17.3 |
| VAD | 8.7 | 2.9 (1.9–4.4) | < .001 | 14.1 | 5.1 | 2.2 (1.4–3.4) | .001 | 5.6 |
| Mixed | 3.6 | 3.7 (2.3–6.2) | < .001 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.9 (1.6–5.2) | < .001 | 4.2 |
| Other | 3.0 | 2.1 (1.2–3.7) | .007 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 4.4 (2.5–7.6) | < .001 | 8.1 |
| Cerebrovascular disorders | * | 24.3 | 1.5 (1.1–1.9) | .004 | 10.1 | |||
| Myocardial infarction | 11.7 | 1.7 (1.3–2.4) | < .001 | 8.0 | 19.3 | 1.4 (1.1–1.8) | .020 | 6.7 |
| Heart failure | * | 32.4 | 1.3 (1.1–1.7) | .013 | 9.8 | |||
| Cohort 1901-02e | Cohort 1923-24f | |||||||
| Women | ||||||||
| Dementia | 30.8 | 2.8 (2.1–3.7) | < .001 | 34.9 | 23.7 | 2.6 (2.0–3.5) | < .001 | 28.0 |
| Cerebrovascular disorders | 19.7 | 1.5 (1.1–2.0) | .014 | 8.5 | 22.0 | 1.4 (1.1–1.9) | .023 | 8.6 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 19.7 | 1.4 (1.0–2.0) | .034 | 7.7 | * | |||
| Myocardial infarction | 10.8 | 2.3 (1.6–3.4) | < .001 | 12.6 | * | |||
| Cohort 1901-02 g | Cohort 1923-24 h | |||||||
| Men | ||||||||
| Dementia | 27.3 | 2.2 (1.5–3.3) | < .001 | 25.1 | 17.9 | 3.3 (2.2–5.0) | < .001 | 29.6 |
| Chronic bronchitis | 16.1 | 1.9 (1.2–3.1) | .012 | 12.3 | ** | |||
| Heart failure | * | 27.4 | 1.5 (1.0–2.1) | .050 | 11.0 | |||
| Atrial fibrillation | ** | 28.8 | 1.5 (1.1–2.2) | .027 | 13.4 | |||
Cox regressions models to analyse which disorders that predict 8-year mortality. Disorders that remained significant predictors (at p < 0.05) in the fully adjusted models are presented in the table. All models are adjusted for exact age
*Not significant in the fully adjusted model
**Not significantly related to mortality
aAdjusted for sex, dementia, cerebrovascular disorders, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic bronchitis, atrial fibrillation, and myocardial infarction
bAdjusted for sex, dementia, cerebrovascular disorders, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic bronchitis, atrial fibrillation, angina pectoris, and myocardial infarction
cAdjusted for sex, AD, VAD, mixed dementia, other types of dementia, cerebrovascular disorders, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic bronchitis, atrial fibrillation, angina pectoris, and myocardial infarction
dAdjusted for sex, AD, VAD, mixed dementia, other types of dementia, cerebrovascular disorders, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic bronchitis, atrial fibrillation, angina pectoris, and myocardial infarction
eAdjusted for dementia, cerebrovascular disorders, congestive heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and myocardial infarction
fAdjusted for dementia, cerebrovascular disorders, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic bronchitis, atrial fibrillation, angina pectoris, and myocardial infarction
gAdjusted for dementia, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic bronchitis, myocardial infarction, and cancer
hAdjusted for dementia, cerebrovascular disorders, congestive heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and myocardial infarction