Table 1.

Estimated parameters for time-series equation predicting monthly counts of suicides among Swedish men 40 to 49 years old, for 102 months spanning January 2005 to December 2014 (standard errors in parentheses)

Parameter	Point estimate	SE
Constant	11.54	(0.33)
Autoregression	None	–
Moving average	None	–

Outlier identification and estimation routines detected one negative outlier—a spike and decay sequence starting November 2007: coef. = − 6.60; SE = 2.23, p < 0.01