Table 2.

Estimated parameters for time-series equation predicting monthly counts of suicides among Swedish men 60–69 years old, for 102 months spanning January 2005–December 2014 (standard errors in parentheses)

Parameter	Point estimate	SE
Constant	10.97	(0.50)
Autoregressive	None	–
Moving average at t + 12	− 0.35	(0.10)

Outlier identification and estimation routines detected two positive spike and decay outlying sequences. One in April 2010: coef. = 11.43; SE = 3.77, p < 0.01, and another in June 2010: coef. = 11.86; SE = 3.78, p < .01