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. 2021 May 28;27(20):2615–2629. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v27.i20.2615

Table 4.

Accuracy of different scoring systems in derivation and validation cohorts

Models Cut-off Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) Youden AUROC (95%CI) P value P value
compared with GIMNS
Derivation cohort (n = 248)
GIMNS 0.4 73.5 78.7 0.522 0.830 (0.778-0.882) < 0.001 -
MELD 24.8 61.4 76.6 0.380 0.759 (0.670-0.821) < 0.001 0.029
CLIF-SOFA 9.0 72.7 68.1 0.408 0.767 (0.706-0.827) < 0.001 0.045
COSSH-ACLF 7.5 56.8 84.0 0.408 0.759 (0.696-0.821) < 0.001 0.026
Validation cohort (n = 123)
GIMNS 0.7 57.8 79.6 0.374 0.732 (0.642-0.821) < 0.001 -
MELD 26.6 65.6 63.0 0.286 0.623 (0.520-0.726) < 0.050 0.013
CLIF-SOFA 11.0 29.7 94.4 0.241 0.661 (0.563-0.758) < 0.010 0.049
COSSH-ACLF 7.9 51.6 81.5 0.331 0.674 (0.577-0.770) < 0.001 0.122

AUROC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CLIF-SOFA: Chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment; COSSH-ACLF: Chinese Group on the study of severe hepatitis B-acute-on-chronic liver failure; MELD: Model for end-stage liver disease; CI: Confidence interval.