Table 12.
GARCH, GJR and EGARCH(1,1), persistence and half-life—NASDAQ
| Full sample | 27/07/1998 | 02/04/2003 | 12/09/2008 | 21/04/2009 | 20/02/2020 | 18/12/2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCH-LM | 2046.298* | 1013.827* | 116.000* | 108.560* | 33.232* | 391.490* | 40.722* |
| 0.111* | 0.115* | 0.096* | 0.038* | 0.090*** | 0.131* | 0.172** | |
| 0.889* | 0.860* | 0.866* | 0.956* | 0.605** | 0.846* | 0.828* | |
| 0.999 | 0.975 | 0.962 | 0.994 | 0.695 | 0.977 | 1.000 | |
| Half-life | 830.765 | 27.378 | 17.892 | 115.178 | NA | 29.802 | 1571.416 |
| t-df | 6.726* | 5.588* | 34.853* | 18.935* | 89.826* | 5.247* | 3.891* |
| GJR | 0.120* | 0.104* | 0.178* | 0.061* | 0.229 | 0.303* | 0.272* |
| EGARCH | 0.087* | 0.079* | 0.125* | 0.050* | 0.316*** | 0.226* | 0.122 |
| BIC GARCH | 2.909 | 2.234 | 4.527 | 2.975 | 5.508 | 2.763 | 4.157 |
| BIC GJR | 2.900 | 2.231 | 4.496 | 2.964 | 5.557 | 2.723 | 4.156 |
| BIC EGARCH | 2.897 | 2.227 | 4.502 | 2.965 | 5.539 | 2.715 | 4.175 |
ARCH-LM test. *, **, ***Denote statistically significant at the 1%, 5% and 10% significance levels, respectively. is the measure of volatility persistence. Half-life gives the point estimate of the half-life in days given as . t-df represents the Student’s t degrees of freedom. GARCH, GJR and EGARCH are conditional heteroskedastic models defined in (4), (6) and (5), respectively