Table 4.

Performance of different thresholds of eGFR or mGFR decline to predict graft failure and all-cause mortality at 16 years post-transplantation

	Graft failure					Mortality
	mGFR change		eGFR change			mGFR change		eGFR change
	C-statistic	95% CI	C-statistic	95% CI	P-value	C-statistic	95% CI	C-statistic	95% CI	P-value
20% GFR decline	0.577	0.516–0.638	0.622	0562–0.682	0.17	0.534	0.464–0.604	0.533	0.462–0.605	0.98
30% GFR decline	0.584	0.523–0.646	0.628	0.568–0.688	0.18	0.548	0.476–0.620	0.528	0.458–0.599	0.55
50% GFR decline	0.578	0.518–0.638	0.622	0.564–0.680	0.18	0.526	0.459–0.594	0.513	0.447–0.580	0.70