Table 2.

Comparison of the estimated distribution of COVID-19 burden for the 20-20-60, 14-14-72, 8-8-84 and the 2-2-96 scenarios.

model	segment	proportion of population	fraction of severe disease burden	relative risk of severe disease	cumulative incidencea	proportion of severe disease burdena
20-20-60	v	0.20	0.80	16	0.19	0.55
	s + g	0.80	0.20	1	0.60	0.45
14-14-72	v	0.14	0.68	13.1	0.22	0.40
	s + g	0.86	0.32	1	0.68	0.60
8-8-84	v	0.08	0.50	11.7	0.24	0.25
	s + g	0.92	0.50	1	0.74	0.75
2-2-96	v	0.02	0.20	12.3	0.27	0.08
	s + g	0.98	0.80	1	0.79	0.92

^aover 1 year period from the end of P2 (days 113 to 478).