baseline epidemic growth rate (pre-interventions) |
0.22 per day (doubling time approx. 3 days) |
[8] |
incubation period |
gamma (mean = 4.84 days, s.d. = 2.79 days) |
[21] |
generation time |
Weibull (mean = 5.0, s.d. = 1.92 days) |
[10] |
household size distribution |
1: 0.29, 2: 0.35, 3: 0.15, 4: 0.14, 5: 0.05, 6+: 0.02 |
[43] |
onset to identification delay |
gamma (mean = 2.62 days, s.d. = 2.38 days) |
assumed using data from Singapore onset to visit to medical provider [8] |
recall decay rate |
10% |
assumed from experience of contact tracers |