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. 2021 May 31;376(1829):20200267. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0267

Table 1.

Data-driven parameters.

parameter values source
baseline epidemic growth rate (pre-interventions) 0.22 per day (doubling time approx. 3 days) [8]
incubation period gamma (mean = 4.84 days, s.d. = 2.79 days) [21]
generation time Weibull (mean = 5.0, s.d. = 1.92 days) [10]
household size distribution 1: 0.29, 2: 0.35, 3: 0.15, 4: 0.14, 5: 0.05, 6+: 0.02 [43]
onset to identification delay gamma (mean = 2.62 days, s.d. = 2.38 days) assumed using data from Singapore onset to visit to medical provider [8]
recall decay rate 10% assumed from experience of contact tracers