Table 8.

End states of simulated epidemics with a single initial case for assumed scenarios of physical distancing relaxation. Scenarios are as described in tables 4 and 5, with scenario A on one extreme representing a small increase in school and workplace contacts, and scenario E on the other representing a larger increase in work contacts, as well as resumption of school contacts and resumption of most leisure contacts.

scenario	% epidemics that did not reproduce	% epidemics that went extinct	% epidemics that grew exponentially	% epidemics that timed out
A	45.8	54.2	0	0
B	39.8	60.2	0	0
C	35.3	64.0	0.3	0.4
D	30.4	61.6	7.8	0.2
E	20.6	36.1	43.3	0