Table 1.

Short term excess mortality under the ICLUS A2 population scenario. Projected excess deaths using ICLUS A2 population scenarios attributable to climate change only, anthropogenic emissions only, and combined effects of both climate change and emissions for 2050s from baseline 2000s by US climatic region. (SE: standard error).

	Climate change only		Emissions control only		Combined effect
Region	RCP4.5	RCP8.5	RCP4.5	RCP8.5	RCP4.5	RCP8.5
National	72	47	−41	2167	50	2217
	(SE = 456)	(SE = 525)	(SE = 1037)	(SE = 1386)	(SE = 615)	(SE = 900)
Northeast	204	330	− 2	365	208	678
	(SE = 12)	(SE = 17)	(SE = 28)	(SE = 43)	(SE = 40)	(SE = 59)
Southeast	−47	−100	−186	405	−237	298
	(SE = 10)	(SE = 17)	(SE = 14)	(SE = 35)	(SE = 5)	(SE = 19)
East North Central	−18	−35	22	161	4	126
	(SE = 1)	(SE = 1)	(SE = 1)	(SE = 3)	(SE = 1)	(SE = 3)
Central	76	87	−42	161	30	239
	(SE = 4)	(SE = 4)	(SE = 7)	(SE = 12)	(SE = 11)	(SE = 15)
West North Central	5	5	−20	9	−15	13
	(SE = 1)	(SE = 1)	(SE = 1)	(SE = 1)	(SE = 1)	(SE = 1)
South	−11	−13	−80	169	−91	152
	(SE = 3)	(SE = 3)	(SE = 3)	(SE = 6)	(SE = 4)	(SE = 6)
Southwest	20	18	−71	98	−52	114
	(SE = 7)	(SE = 7)	(SE = 7)	(SE = 15)	(SE = 3)	(SE = 13)
Northwest	−12	−5	46	122	34	112
	(SE = 2)	(SE = 2)	(SE = 6)	(SE = 8)	(SE = 5)	(SE = 9)
West	−143	−170	292	678	165	475
	(SE = 154)	(SE = 182)	(SE = 355)	(SE = 468)	(SE = 199)	(SE = 287)