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. 2021 Jun 3;78:102475. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102475

Table B8.

Ontario – robustness (policy collinearity).

Outcome: weekly case growth, Yit=Δlog(ΔCit)
Baseline
drop Mask_14
drop Business /gathering_14
drop School_14
drop LTC_14
Mask_14 only
p-values in [ ] (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)
Mask_14 -0.244 ** -0.248 ** -0.244 ** -0.250 ** -0.243 ** -0.247 ** -0.241 ** -0.242 ** -0.241 ** -0.242 **
[0.012] [0.011] [0.014] [0.012] [0.012] [0.012] [0.011] [0.010] [0.012] [0.012]
Business/ 0.042 0.120 0.098 0.172 0.066 0.116 0.033 0.088
gathering_14 [0.937] [0.789] [0.838] [0.697] [0.892] [0.795] [0.956] [0.852]
School_14 -0.545 * -0.499 -0.540 * -0.486 -0.547 ** -0.497 -0.546 * -0.498
[0.051] [0.168] [0.051] [0.184] [0.049] [0.171] [0.050] [0.170]
LTC_14 -0.468 -1.067 -0.261 -0.834 -0.460 -1.031 -0.481 -1.065
[0.696] [0.410] [0.824] [0.501] [0.700] [0.416] [0.689] [0.410]
Behav. proxy_14 -0.005 -0.004 -0.004 -0.003 -0.005 -0.005 -0.005 -0.004 -0.005 -0.004 -0.005 -0.004
[0.280] [0.335] [0.408] [0.470] [0.266] [0.308] [0.314] [0.366] [0.278] [0.341] [0.292] [0.349]
Δlog(ΔC)_14 0.049 0.047 0.050 0.049 0.048 0.047 0.048 0.047 0.049 0.047 0.048 0.047
[0.152] [0.167] [0.133] [0.142] [0.160] [0.174] [0.154] [0.169] [0.154] [0.166] [0.163] [0.172]
log(ΔC)_14 -0.168 *** -0.168 *** -0.167 *** -0.167 *** -0.168 *** -0.167 *** -0.167 *** -0.168 *** -0.167 *** -0.167 *** -0.166 *** -0.167 ***
[0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000]
Δlog(ΔPC)_14 0.375 ** 0.357 ** 0.363 * 0.308 * 0.324 * 0.249
[0.038] [0.046] [0.064] [0.077] [0.073] [0.162]
log(ΔPC)_14 -0.004 0.008 0.007 0.156 0.009 0.175
[0.967] [0.984] [0.984] [0.229] [0.980] [0.142]
Δlog(ΔT) 0.345 ** 0.350 ** 0.347 ** 0.353 ** 0.345 ** 0.350 ** 0.336 ** 0.345 ** 0.347 ** 0.355 ** 0.339 ** 0.351 **
[0.042] [0.040] [0.044] [0.040] [0.043] [0.041] [0.048] [0.042] [0.038] [0.034] [0.044] [0.038]
R-squared 0.096 0.096 0.094 0.095 0.096 0.096 0.095 0.096 0.095 0.096 0.095 0.096
N 6800 6800 6800 6800 6800 6800 6800 6800 6800 6800 6800 6800
PHU fixed effects X X X X X X X X X X X X
week fixed effects X X X X X X X X X X X X

Notes: Time period – May 15, to November 30, 2020. P-values from wild bootstrap (cgmwildboot) standard errors clustered by public health unit (PHU) with 5000 repetitions are reported in the square brackets. Columns (1) and (2) repeat columns (1) and (2) from Table 1. We drop each policy at a time in columns (3)-(10). PC denotes provincial total cases. ***, ** and * denote 10%, 5% and 1% significance level respectively.