Table B8.
Ontario – robustness (policy collinearity).
Outcome: weekly case growth, |
||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baseline |
drop Mask_14 |
drop Business /gathering_14 |
drop School_14 |
drop LTC_14 |
Mask_14 only |
|||||||
p-values in [ ] | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) |
Mask_14 | -0.244 ** | -0.248 ** | -0.244 ** | -0.250 ** | -0.243 ** | -0.247 ** | -0.241 ** | -0.242 ** | -0.241 ** | -0.242 ** | ||
[0.012] | [0.011] | [0.014] | [0.012] | [0.012] | [0.012] | [0.011] | [0.010] | [0.012] | [0.012] | |||
Business/ | 0.042 | 0.120 | 0.098 | 0.172 | 0.066 | 0.116 | 0.033 | 0.088 | ||||
gathering_14 | [0.937] | [0.789] | [0.838] | [0.697] | [0.892] | [0.795] | [0.956] | [0.852] | ||||
School_14 | -0.545 * | -0.499 | -0.540 * | -0.486 | -0.547 ** | -0.497 | -0.546 * | -0.498 | ||||
[0.051] | [0.168] | [0.051] | [0.184] | [0.049] | [0.171] | [0.050] | [0.170] | |||||
LTC_14 | -0.468 | -1.067 | -0.261 | -0.834 | -0.460 | -1.031 | -0.481 | -1.065 | ||||
[0.696] | [0.410] | [0.824] | [0.501] | [0.700] | [0.416] | [0.689] | [0.410] | |||||
Behav. proxy_14 | -0.005 | -0.004 | -0.004 | -0.003 | -0.005 | -0.005 | -0.005 | -0.004 | -0.005 | -0.004 | -0.005 | -0.004 |
[0.280] | [0.335] | [0.408] | [0.470] | [0.266] | [0.308] | [0.314] | [0.366] | [0.278] | [0.341] | [0.292] | [0.349] | |
C)_14 | 0.049 | 0.047 | 0.050 | 0.049 | 0.048 | 0.047 | 0.048 | 0.047 | 0.049 | 0.047 | 0.048 | 0.047 |
[0.152] | [0.167] | [0.133] | [0.142] | [0.160] | [0.174] | [0.154] | [0.169] | [0.154] | [0.166] | [0.163] | [0.172] | |
C)_14 | -0.168 *** | -0.168 *** | -0.167 *** | -0.167 *** | -0.168 *** | -0.167 *** | -0.167 *** | -0.168 *** | -0.167 *** | -0.167 *** | -0.166 *** | -0.167 *** |
[0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | [0.000] | |
PC)_14 | 0.375 ** | 0.357 ** | 0.363 * | 0.308 * | 0.324 * | 0.249 | ||||||
[0.038] | [0.046] | [0.064] | [0.077] | [0.073] | [0.162] | |||||||
PC)_14 | -0.004 | 0.008 | 0.007 | 0.156 | 0.009 | 0.175 | ||||||
[0.967] | [0.984] | [0.984] | [0.229] | [0.980] | [0.142] | |||||||
T) | 0.345 ** | 0.350 ** | 0.347 ** | 0.353 ** | 0.345 ** | 0.350 ** | 0.336 ** | 0.345 ** | 0.347 ** | 0.355 ** | 0.339 ** | 0.351 ** |
[0.042] | [0.040] | [0.044] | [0.040] | [0.043] | [0.041] | [0.048] | [0.042] | [0.038] | [0.034] | [0.044] | [0.038] | |
R-squared | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.094 | 0.095 | 0.096 | 0.096 | 0.095 | 0.096 | 0.095 | 0.096 | 0.095 | 0.096 |
N | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 | 6800 |
PHU fixed effects | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
week fixed effects | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X |
Notes: Time period – May 15, to November 30, 2020. P-values from wild bootstrap (cgmwildboot) standard errors clustered by public health unit (PHU) with 5000 repetitions are reported in the square brackets. Columns (1) and (2) repeat columns (1) and (2) from Table 1. We drop each policy at a time in columns (3)-(10). PC denotes provincial total cases. ***, ** and * denote 10%, 5% and 1% significance level respectively.