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. 2021 Jun 2;12:3281. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-23531-z

Fig. 5. Population dynamics of underdominant systems in a single population.

Fig. 5

a Discrete generation model of a SPECIES-like extreme underdominant system with a fitness cost of 10% released at population frequencies of 45–60%. A release threshold is apparent between 50 and 55% (simulations confirm a threshold of 52.8%). b The release threshold increases with fitness cost, from 50% for no fitness cost, to 83.3% for an 80% fitness cost. c Extreme underdominant systems spread quickly, reaching a population frequency of 99% (including heterozygotes and homozygotes) within 3–4 generations of a release at a frequency of 65% for fitness costs between 0 and 20%. d Discrete generation model of reciprocal chromosomal translocations with a fitness cost of 10% released at population frequencies of 50–65%. A release threshold is apparent between 55 and 60% (simulations confirm a threshold of 56.1%). e The release threshold increases with fitness cost, from 50% for no fitness cost, to 62.4% for a 20% fitness cost. Translocations cannot spread for fitness costs greater than 66.3%. f Translocations spread less quickly, reaching a population frequency of 99% (including heterozygotes and homozygotes) within 7–13 generations of a release at a frequency of 65% for fitness costs between 0 and 20%. g Discrete generation model of two-locus engineered underdominance with a fitness cost of 10% released at population frequencies of 25–40%. A release threshold is apparent between 30 and 35% (simulations confirm a threshold of 31.2%). h The release threshold increases with fitness cost, from 26.9% for no fitness cost, to 35.9% for a 20% fitness cost. Two-locus engineered underdominance cannot spread for fitness costs greater than 72.7%. i Two-locus engineered underdominant systems spread slightly less quickly, reaching a population frequency of 99% (including heterozygotes and homozygotes) within 4–5 generations of a release at a frequency of 65% for fitness costs between 0 and 20%.