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. 2021 Jun 4;12(5):1065–1073. doi: 10.1007/s41999-021-00508-1

Table 4.

Multivariate logistic regression analysis for assessing independent predictors for mortality

Sig Unadjusted OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI)
Model 1
 Age 0.002* 1.05 (1.03–1.06) 1.035 (1.012–1.058)
 Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio(NLR) 0.024* 1.04 (1.02–1.06) 1.021 (1.00–1.04)
 CFS  < 0.001* 1.45 (1.30–1.62) 1.132 (1.13–1.53)
 CRP  < 0.001* 1.006 (1.004–1.009) 1.006 (1.003–1.009)
 Creatinine 0.070 1.004 (1.001–1.008) 1.002 (0.999–1.005)
 SFR  < 0.001* 0.993 (0.990–0.995) 0.995 (0.993–0.998)
 Constant  < 0.001* 0.020 (0–0.01)
Model 2
 Age  < 0.001* 1.05 (1.03–1.06) 1.038 (1.013–1.063)
 Male gender 0.113 1.583 (0.896–2.797)
 Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio(NLR) 0.050 1.04 (1.02–1.06) 1.019 (0.999–1.039)
 CFS  < 0.001* 1.45 (1.30–1.62) 1.356 (1.145–1.606)
 CRP  < 0.001* 1.006 (1.004–1.009) 1.006 (1.002–1.009)
 Creatinine 0.121 1.004 (1.001–1.008) 1.002 (0.999–1.005)
 SFR 0.094 0.993 (0.990–0.995) 0.997 (0.994–1)
 LOS 0.038 0.997 (0.979–1.015) 0.971 (0.946–0.998)
 Supp Oxygen (Yes)  < 0.001* 12.25 (5.94–25.25) 7.66 (3.24–18.10)
 CXR 0.059 1.73 (1.22–2.46) 1.585 (0.981–2.56)
Constant 0 (0–0.01)

Model1: Variables initially included: Age, gender, CFS, Comorbidities > 2, Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio(NLR)

CRP, creatinine, RR, CPAP, SFR, Total LOS, interaction CPAP*CFS

Model2: Variables initially included were the same as model 1 + Supp 02 and CXR.pseusoR2model1 = 25.2%, pseusoR2model2 = 32.6% which mean Sup 02 as a significant predictor could explain additional 7.4% of variance in mortality outcome

Model1 cross validation accuracy on test set = 78.3%, AUROC = 0.842.Model2 cross validation accuracy on test set = 78.1%, AUROC = 0.871