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. 2021 May 3;104(6):2123–2130. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1209

Table 3.

Malaria-attributable fraction of fevers in outpatients in Malawi by age, site. and season

Season Age group
0–5 y 6–15 y > 15 y
N Parasite prevalence (%)* MAF, % (95% CI) PAF (%) N Parasite prevalence (%) MAF, % (95% CI) PAF (%) N Parasite prevalence (%) MAF, % (95% CI) PAF (%)
All sites
 Total 1,865 23.7 56.5 (41.6–67.6) 13.4 1,095 26.5 19.6 (0.0–39.1) 5.2 2037 13.9 22.4 (0.1–39.8) 3.1
 Rainy 584 26.5 78.4 (48.9–90.8) 20.8 358 35.2 0.0 (0.0–36.5) 0.0 639 15.9 21.1 (0.0–48.7) 3.4
 Dry 1,317 22.6 23.6 (30.2–44.2) 5.3 737 22.3 25.7 (0.0–49.1) 5.7 1398 12.9 23.6 (0.0–44.2) 3.3
Chikhwawa (rural, high transmission)
 Total 575 43.8 57.7 (29.6–74.6) 25.3 366 40.7 0.0 (0.0–31.5) 0.0 564 19.2 16.8 (0.0–47.0) 3.2
 Rainy 223 50.7 82.0 (15.8–96.1) 41.6 169 53.3 26.3 (0.0–61.0) 14.0 251 23.5 15.4 (0.0–57.7) 3.6
 Dry 352 39.5 44.9 (3.6–68.5) 17.7 197 29.9 0.0 (0.0–32.6) 0.0 313 15.7 31.0 (0.0–62.9) 4.9
Thyolo (rural, seasonal transmission)
 Total 303 14.5 64.7 (6.8–86.6) 2.1 106 24.5 39.9 (0.0–76.6) 6.0 302 10.9 35.9 (0.0–68.4) 1.2
 Rainy 145 13.7 63.2 (0.0–91.9) 1.9 47 29.8 0.0 (0.0–65.9) 8.9 119 15.6 53.5 (0.0–82.8) 2.4
 Dry 158 15.2 66.4 (0.0–90.5) 2.3 59 20.3 68.1 (0.0–92.3) 4.1 183 7.7 0.0 (0.0–60.0) 0.6
Ndirande (urban, low transmission)
 Total 987 14.8 31.7 (0.0–54.9) 2.2 623 18.5 27.9 (23.4–31.5) 3.4 1171 12.1 33.4 (5.2–53.2) 1.5
 Rainy 180 6.7 0.0 (0.0–79.2) 0.4 142 15.5 23.4 (0.0–76.1) 2.4 269 8.9 73.9 (0.0–90.6) 0.8
 Dry 807 16.6 36.9 (7.0–60.8) 2.8 481 19.3 31.5 (0.0–58.1) 3.7 902 13.1 23.8 (0.0–48.3) 1.7

MAF = malaria-attributable fraction of fevers; PAF = population-attributable fraction.

*

Percentage of malaria slides with parasites detected.

The MAF was calculated as (OR – 1)/OR, where OR is the odds ratio of fever given a positive malaria slide. MAF was set to zero if odds of fever were higher in patients without a positive malaria slide compared with patients with a positive malaria slide

PAF calculated as MAF × parasite prevalence.