Table 3.
Malaria-attributable fraction of fevers in outpatients in Malawi by age, site. and season
| Season | Age group | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–5 y | 6–15 y | > 15 y | ||||||||||
| N | Parasite prevalence (%)* | MAF, % (95% CI)† | PAF (%)‡ | N | Parasite prevalence (%) | MAF, % (95% CI) | PAF (%) | N | Parasite prevalence (%) | MAF, % (95% CI) | PAF (%) | |
| All sites | ||||||||||||
| Total | 1,865 | 23.7 | 56.5 (41.6–67.6) | 13.4 | 1,095 | 26.5 | 19.6 (0.0–39.1) | 5.2 | 2037 | 13.9 | 22.4 (0.1–39.8) | 3.1 |
| Rainy | 584 | 26.5 | 78.4 (48.9–90.8) | 20.8 | 358 | 35.2 | 0.0 (0.0–36.5) | 0.0 | 639 | 15.9 | 21.1 (0.0–48.7) | 3.4 |
| Dry | 1,317 | 22.6 | 23.6 (30.2–44.2) | 5.3 | 737 | 22.3 | 25.7 (0.0–49.1) | 5.7 | 1398 | 12.9 | 23.6 (0.0–44.2) | 3.3 |
| Chikhwawa (rural, high transmission) | ||||||||||||
| Total | 575 | 43.8 | 57.7 (29.6–74.6) | 25.3 | 366 | 40.7 | 0.0 (0.0–31.5) | 0.0 | 564 | 19.2 | 16.8 (0.0–47.0) | 3.2 |
| Rainy | 223 | 50.7 | 82.0 (15.8–96.1) | 41.6 | 169 | 53.3 | 26.3 (0.0–61.0) | 14.0 | 251 | 23.5 | 15.4 (0.0–57.7) | 3.6 |
| Dry | 352 | 39.5 | 44.9 (3.6–68.5) | 17.7 | 197 | 29.9 | 0.0 (0.0–32.6) | 0.0 | 313 | 15.7 | 31.0 (0.0–62.9) | 4.9 |
| Thyolo (rural, seasonal transmission) | ||||||||||||
| Total | 303 | 14.5 | 64.7 (6.8–86.6) | 2.1 | 106 | 24.5 | 39.9 (0.0–76.6) | 6.0 | 302 | 10.9 | 35.9 (0.0–68.4) | 1.2 |
| Rainy | 145 | 13.7 | 63.2 (0.0–91.9) | 1.9 | 47 | 29.8 | 0.0 (0.0–65.9) | 8.9 | 119 | 15.6 | 53.5 (0.0–82.8) | 2.4 |
| Dry | 158 | 15.2 | 66.4 (0.0–90.5) | 2.3 | 59 | 20.3 | 68.1 (0.0–92.3) | 4.1 | 183 | 7.7 | 0.0 (0.0–60.0) | 0.6 |
| Ndirande (urban, low transmission) | ||||||||||||
| Total | 987 | 14.8 | 31.7 (0.0–54.9) | 2.2 | 623 | 18.5 | 27.9 (23.4–31.5) | 3.4 | 1171 | 12.1 | 33.4 (5.2–53.2) | 1.5 |
| Rainy | 180 | 6.7 | 0.0 (0.0–79.2) | 0.4 | 142 | 15.5 | 23.4 (0.0–76.1) | 2.4 | 269 | 8.9 | 73.9 (0.0–90.6) | 0.8 |
| Dry | 807 | 16.6 | 36.9 (7.0–60.8) | 2.8 | 481 | 19.3 | 31.5 (0.0–58.1) | 3.7 | 902 | 13.1 | 23.8 (0.0–48.3) | 1.7 |
MAF = malaria-attributable fraction of fevers; PAF = population-attributable fraction.
Percentage of malaria slides with parasites detected.
The MAF was calculated as (OR – 1)/OR, where OR is the odds ratio of fever given a positive malaria slide. MAF was set to zero if odds of fever were higher in patients without a positive malaria slide compared with patients with a positive malaria slide
PAF calculated as MAF × parasite prevalence.