Table 1.
A 10-year probability of a major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture in women with a prior fracture by age from Botswana, South Africa, Morocco and US Blacks. Body mass index is set to 25 kg/m2
| Age (years) | Botswana | South Africa, Black | South Africa, Coloured | Morocco | Tunisia | US Black |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOF | ||||||
| 50 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 3.5 |
| 55 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 5.3 |
| 60 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 6.9 |
| 65 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 8.2 |
| 70 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 9.1 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 9.9 |
| 75 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 11 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 12 |
| 80 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 13 | 9.1 | 2.6 | 16 |
| 85 | 3.3 | 8.7 | 16 | 10 | 3.0 | 18 |
| 90 | 3.8 | 9.8 | 18 | 10 | 3.4 | 16 |
| Hip | ||||||
| 50 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| 55 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| 60 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| 65 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 70 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| 75 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 3.6 |
| 80 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 5.3 |
| 85 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 6.6 |
| 90 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 9.3 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 6.3 |