Table 1. Results of joinpoint regression analysis on the trends in all-cancer incidence: data from three prefectures (1985–2015)a.
| Age | Sex | Cancer site | ICD-10 | Number of joinpoints |
Line segment | Annual % change |
95% confidence interval |
|||
| Start | End | Lower | Upper | |||||||
| All ages | Male and female | All cancers | C00–C96 | 3 | 1985 | 1996 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | * |
| 1996 | 2000 | −0.5 | −2.6 | 1.6 | ||||||
| 2000 | 2010 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | * | |||||
| 2010 | 2015 | −0.5 | −1.4 | 0.4 | ||||||
| All cancers excluding stomach | C00–C96 (excluding C16) | 3 | 1985 | 1996 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.3 | * | ||
| 1996 | 2000 | 0.2 | −2.1 | 2.6 | ||||||
| 2000 | 2010 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.6 | * | |||||
| 2010 | 2015 | −0.3 | −1.3 | 0.6 | ||||||
| All cancers excluding stomach and liver | C00–C96 (excluding C16 and C22) | 2 | 1985 | 2005 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | * | ||
| 2005 | 2010 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 4.6 | * | |||||
| 2010 | 2015 | −0.1 | −1.3 | 1.1 | ||||||
| Male | All cancers | C00–C96 | 3 | 1985 | 1996 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | * | |
| 1996 | 2000 | −0.9 | −3.6 | 1.9 | ||||||
| 2000 | 2010 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | * | |||||
| 2010 | 2015 | −1.4 | −2.5 | −0.3 | * | |||||
| All cancers excluding stomach | C00–C96 (excluding C16) | 3 | 1985 | 1996 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2.6 | * | ||
| 1996 | 2000 | −0.2 | −3.4 | 3.1 | ||||||
| 2000 | 2010 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.4 | * | |||||
| 2010 | 2015 | −1.3 | −2.6 | 0.0 | * | |||||
| All cancers excluding stomach and liver | C00–C96 (excluding C16 and C22) | 1 | 1985 | 2010 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | * | ||
| 2010 | 2015 | −0.6 | −2.1 | 0.9 | ||||||
| All cancers excluding prostate | C00–C96 (excluding C61) | 3 | 1985 | 1995 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | * | ||
| 1995 | 2005 | −0.6 | −1.0 | −0.2 | * | |||||
| 2005 | 2009 | 1.8 | −0.4 | 4.0 | ||||||
| 2009 | 2015 | −1.3 | −2.0 | −0.5 | * | |||||
| Female | All cancers | C00–C96 | 2 | 1985 | 2004 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | * | |
| 2004 | 2010 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3.4 | * | |||||
| 2010 | 2015 | 0.2 | −0.8 | 1.2 | ||||||
| All cancers excluding stomach | C00–C96 (excluding C16) | 2 | 1985 | 2005 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | * | ||
| 2005 | 2010 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 4.7 | * | |||||
| 2010 | 2015 | 0.3 | −0.8 | 1.4 | ||||||
| All cancers excluding stomach and liver | C00–C96 (excluding C16 and C22) | 2 | 1985 | 2005 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | * | ||
| 2005 | 2010 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 4.9 | * | |||||
| 2010 | 2015 | 0.5 | −0.6 | 1.6 | ||||||
| All cancers excluding breast | C00–C96 (excluding C50) | 2 | 1985 | 2005 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | * | ||
| 2005 | 2012 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.4 | * | |||||
| 2012 | 2015 | −1.2 | −3.8 | 1.3 | ||||||
ICD-10, International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision.
aYamagata, Fukui, and Nagasaki Prefectures.
*Annual % change was statistically significantly different from zero (P < 0.05).