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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jun 9.
Published in final edited form as: Oper Res. 2019 May 10;67(3):599–904. doi: 10.1287/opre.2018.1817

Table 2:

The time (in years) it takes for the last-line treatment of gonorrhea to reach 95% (denoted by τ95), and 90% (denoted by τ90) effectiveness as well as the time at which this treatment ceases to be economical (i.e., τ*). The last row indicates the annualized total cost of gonorrhea per person (ρv*) for an infinite time horizon when the discount rate ρ is 3%. All policy-relevant quantities were evaluated with an initial gonorrhea prevalence of 0.27% and drug quality of 99.6%. The range corresponds to 2.5% and 97.5% quantiles of each quantity.

Policy Relevant Quantities Base Value Range Description
τ95 9.53 4.75 – 19.09 Years until drug quality reduces to 95%
τ90 12.30 6.13 – 24.63 Years until drug quality reduces to 90%
τ* 30.31 14.11 – 61.79 Years until treatment is no longer economical (optimal stopping time)
ρv* $28.19 $6.34 – $46.38 Annualized per-person cost of gonorrhea under the optimal policy