Figure 5.

Projected epidemic curves showing daily clinical incident cases per 100 000 people for Scenario 4 at varying extensiveness of shutdowns: baseline—no further shutdowns (a); all shutdown (100% schools, 50% workplaces and 50% mixed-age venues) (b); 50% workplaces only (c); 100% schools only (d); 50% mixed-age venues only (e) and 50% mixed-age venues and 50% workplaces together (f). The black line represents the median clinical incident value across 50 model realizations. The shaded grey area represents the 95% credible interval. The red dash line represents the median of prevalent active clinical cases.