Table 2.
Multivariable model results: October 1-December 31, 2020
| mLMM2 (dependent variable: probit_wADGR) | mGLMM2 (dependent variable: wADGR) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regressors | Maximum likelihood estimation | Bayesian estimation | Restricted maximum likelihood estimation | Average marginal effects (AME) % |
| Coefficients (95% CI) | Mean parameters (95% CrI) | Coefficients (95% CI) | ||
| - Intercept | − 1.22 ( − 1.89, − 0.56) | − 0.65 ( − 1.58, 0.27) | − 1.38 ( − 1.90, − 0.74) | |
| - Time | − 0.03 ( − 0.05, − 0.02) | − 0.03 ( − 0.09, 0.03) | − 0.03 ( − 0.05, − 0.02) | − 0.13 |
| - Workplace closing: require closing (or work from home) for some sectors or categories of workers | − 0.04 ( − 0.09, 0.01) | − 0.03 ( − 0.08, 0.02) | − 0.01 ( − 0.06, 0.05) | − 0.03 |
| - Workplace closing: require closing (or work from home) of all-but-essential workplaces (e.g. grocery stores, doctors) | − 0.21 ( − 0.28, − 0.14) | − 0.20 ( − 0.28, − 0.13 | − 0.18 ( − 0.25, − 0.11) | − 0.66 |
| -Testing of anyone showing COVID-19 symptoms | 0.17 (0.01, 0.32) | 0.19 (0.03, 0.35) | 0.28 (0.16, 0.39) | 0.89 |
| -open public testing (e.g. “drive through” testing available to asymptomatic people) | 0.13 ( − 0.03, 0.30) | 0.13 ( − 0.03, 0.30) | 0.26 (0.12, 0.40) | 0.83 |
| - Percentage of total population living in urban areas | − 0.01 ( − 0.020, − 0.004) | − 0.02 ( − 0.031, − 0.008) | − 0.01 ( − 0.020, − 0.004) | − 0.05 |
mLMM2 multivariable linear mixed model 2; mGLMM2 multivariable generalized linear mixed model 2; CI Confidence interval; CrI Credible interval