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. 2021 Jun 5;13(5):410–420. doi: 10.1093/inthealth/ihab031

Table 2.

Results of the 15-days-ahead forecasts for the cumulative number of infected cases (in millions) of COVID-19 in India using the Gompertz and ARIMA models.

Gompertz growth model ARIMA model
Date Lower CI Measured Upper CI Lower CI Measured Upper CI
21 December 2020 6.48 6.51 6.53 10.12 10.13 10.14
22 December 2020 6.49 6.51 6.54 10.14 10.15 10.18
23 December 2020 6.49 6.52 6.54 10.15 10.17 10.21
24 December 2020 6.50 6.52 6.55 10.16 10.19 10.24
25 December 2020 6.51 6.53 6.55 10.17 10.21 10.28
26 December 2020 6.51 6.54 6.56 10.19 10.23 10.32
27 December 2020 6.52 6.54 6.56 10.20 10.25 10.35
28 December 2020 6.52 6.55 6.57 10.21 10.27 10.39
29 December 2020 6.53 6.55 6.58 10.22 10.29 10.43
30 December 2020 6.53 6.56 6.58 10.22 10.31 10.47
31 December 2020 6.54 6.56 6.59 10.23 10.33 10.51
1 January 2021 6.54 6.57 6.59 10.24 10.35 10.55
2 January 2021 6.55 6.57 6.59 10.25 10.36 10.60
3 January 2021 6.55 6.58 6.60 10.25 10.38 10.65
4 January 2021 6.56 6.58 6.60 10.26 10.40 10.70