Table 2.
Results of the 15-days-ahead forecasts for the cumulative number of infected cases (in millions) of COVID-19 in India using the Gompertz and ARIMA models.
Gompertz growth model | ARIMA model | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Lower CI | Measured | Upper CI | Lower CI | Measured | Upper CI |
21 December 2020 | 6.48 | 6.51 | 6.53 | 10.12 | 10.13 | 10.14 |
22 December 2020 | 6.49 | 6.51 | 6.54 | 10.14 | 10.15 | 10.18 |
23 December 2020 | 6.49 | 6.52 | 6.54 | 10.15 | 10.17 | 10.21 |
24 December 2020 | 6.50 | 6.52 | 6.55 | 10.16 | 10.19 | 10.24 |
25 December 2020 | 6.51 | 6.53 | 6.55 | 10.17 | 10.21 | 10.28 |
26 December 2020 | 6.51 | 6.54 | 6.56 | 10.19 | 10.23 | 10.32 |
27 December 2020 | 6.52 | 6.54 | 6.56 | 10.20 | 10.25 | 10.35 |
28 December 2020 | 6.52 | 6.55 | 6.57 | 10.21 | 10.27 | 10.39 |
29 December 2020 | 6.53 | 6.55 | 6.58 | 10.22 | 10.29 | 10.43 |
30 December 2020 | 6.53 | 6.56 | 6.58 | 10.22 | 10.31 | 10.47 |
31 December 2020 | 6.54 | 6.56 | 6.59 | 10.23 | 10.33 | 10.51 |
1 January 2021 | 6.54 | 6.57 | 6.59 | 10.24 | 10.35 | 10.55 |
2 January 2021 | 6.55 | 6.57 | 6.59 | 10.25 | 10.36 | 10.60 |
3 January 2021 | 6.55 | 6.58 | 6.60 | 10.25 | 10.38 | 10.65 |
4 January 2021 | 6.56 | 6.58 | 6.60 | 10.26 | 10.40 | 10.70 |