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. 2021 Jun 5;13(5):410–420. doi: 10.1093/inthealth/ihab031

Table 5.

Comparative performance results of the exponential, logistic, Gompertz and ARIMA models for infected and deceased cases.

Infected cases Deceased cases
Model MAPE RMSE MAPE RMSE
Exponential 13 540.28 915 734 199.71 14 141
Logistic 0.87 1 936 295 0.58 19 631
Gompertz 0.52 1 351 553 0.40 15 634
ARIMA 0.03 0.20 2.99 0.22