Table 3.
Relative error (E) computed using different forecasting methods (Google Cloud (G), proposed with temperature, humidity, and mobility data (P) and proposed with mobility data only (P)) for all study regions over seven time periods (–) shown in Figure 5. Blue color indicates the lowest error value.
Region | Method | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 | T7 | Avg. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tokyo | G | 0.289 | 0.467 | 0.287 | 0.330 | 0.300 | 0.290 | 1.943 | 0.558 |
P | 0.267 | 0.169 | 0.191 | 0.222 | 0.229 | 0.229 | 0.278 | 0.226 | |
P | 0.233 | 0.221 | 0.191 | 0.198 | 0.210 | 0.234 | 0.249 | 0.219 | |
Aichi | G | 0.467 | 0.301 | 0.368 | 0.395 | 1.102 | 0.311 | 0.376 | 0.474 |
P | 0.201 | 0.148 | 0.189 | 0.162 | 0.150 | 0.157 | 0.187 | 0.171 | |
P | 0.184 | 0.149 | 0.172 | 0.174 | 0.149 | 0.174 | 0.232 | 0.176 | |
Osaka | G | 0.318 | 1.464 | 1.334 | 1.477 | 0.802 | 0.505 | 0.533 | 0.919 |
P | 0.234 | 0.148 | 0.159 | 0.141 | 0.130 | 0.135 | 0.190 | 0.162 | |
P | 0.283 | 0.171 | 0.166 | 0.151 | 0.132 | 0.141 | 0.214 | 0.180 | |
Hyogo | G | 0.470 | 1.892 | 1.740 | 1.532 | 0.520 | 0.425 | 0.336 | 0.988 |
P | 0.282 | 0.286 | 0.244 | 0.229 | 0.248 | 0.216 | 0.336 | 0.263 | |
P | 0.330 | 0.289 | 0.234 | 0.248 | 0.207 | 0.263 | 0.360 | 0.276 | |
Kyoto | G | 0.538 | 0.749 | 0.568 | 0.601 | 0.758 | 0.732 | 0.363 | 0.616 |
P | 0.429 | 0.529 | 0.564 | 0.549 | 0.283 | 0.342 | 0.241 | 0.419 | |
P | 0.448 | 0.494 | 0.519 | 0.564 | 0.601 | 0.615 | 0.540 | 0.540 | |
Fukuoka | G | 0.484 | 0.665 | 0.506 | 0.663 | 0.535 | 0.443 | 0.353 | 0.522 |
P | 0.399 | 0.420 | 0.461 | 0.428 | 0.429 | 0.341 | 0.245 | 0.389 | |
P | 0.519 | 0.427 | 0.388 | 0.358 | 0.335 | 0.334 | 0.375 | 0.391 |