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. 2021 Jun 14;2021(6):CD009294. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD009294.pub3

5. Gemcitabine compared to one‐third dose BCG.

Patient or population: participants with non‐muscle invasive bladder cancer (103 men, 17 women)
Country: Italy, Germany, and the US
Setting: multicenter (3 centers), likely inpatients
Intervention: gemcitabine
Comparison: 1/3 dose BCG
Outcomes № of participants
(studies) Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE) Relative effect
(95% CI) Anticipated absolute effects* (95% CI)
Risk with 1/3 dose BCG Risk difference with gemcitabine
Time to recurrence
Follow‐up: 1 year
MCID: 5% absolute difference
118
(1 RCT) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
Verylowa,b HR 1.17
(0.57 to 2.42) Study population
237 per 1000 34 more per 1000
(94 fewer to 243 more)
Time to progression
Follow‐up: 1 year
MCID: 5% absolute difference
118
(1 RCT) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowa,c HR 1.63
(0.39 to 6.83) Study population
51 per 1000 31 more per 1000
(31 fewer to 250 more)
Grade IIIV adverse events
assessed with: CTCAE version 3.0
Follow‐up: 1 year
MCID: 5% absolute difference
88
(1 RCT) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
Verylowa,d Not estimable No events No events
Time to death from bladder cancer Not reported
Time to death from any cause Not reported
Grade I or II adverse events
assessed with: CTCAE version 3.0
Follow‐up: 1 year
MCID: 5% absolute difference
88
(1 RCT) ⊕⊝⊝⊝
Verylowa,b RR 0.84
(0.49 to 1.46) Study population
404 per 1000 65 fewer per 1000
(206 fewer to 186 more)
Disease‐specific quality of life
assessed with: EORTC QLQ‐C30
(Global health status scale: higher score represents better functioning)
Scale: 0–100
Follow‐up: 1 year
MCID: 10e
88
(1 RCT) ⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowa,c The mean disease‐specific quality of life was 80.9 MD 4.5 higher
(1.6 lower to 10.6 higher)
*The risk in the intervention group (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
BCG: Bacillus Calmette‐Guérin; CI: confidence interval; CTCAE: Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events; EORTC QLQ‐C30: European Organization for the Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Core 30; MD: mean difference; RCT: randomized controlled trial; RR: risk ratio.
GRADE Working Group grades of evidenceHigh certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

aDowngraded one level for study limitations: high risk of bias on one or more domains.
bDowngraded two levels for imprecision: confidence intervals crossed a clinically important threshold and no effect; wide confidence intervals.
cDowngraded one level for imprecision: confidence intervals crossed a clinically important threshold and no effect.
dDowngraded two levels for imprecision: no events in either arm.
eMCID: came from Osoba 1998.