Table 4 ∣.

Excess mortality attributable to climate change-induced temperature increase in six cities, South Korea.

Climate scenario	Year	(Unit: death count per year)
		Shifteda Mean (95% CI)	Addedb Mean (95% CI)	Total Mean (95% CI)
ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY
RCP 4.5	2041–2070	388.1 ( 243.6, 548.7)	111.8 ( 69.5, 154.5)	499.9 ( 313.1, 703.1)
	2071–2100	504.7 ( 315.9, 715.9)	261.0 ( 162.1, 360.0)	765.7 ( 478.0, 1076.8)
RCP 8.5	2041–2070	619.2 ( 386.4, 880.9)	389.1 ( 241.3, 539.0)	1,008.4 ( 627.6, 1,420.0)
	2071–2100	1,046.7 ( 645.9, 1,505.9)	1,272.9 ( 783.9, 1,775.1)	2,319.5 ( 1,429.8, 3,280.9)
CARDIOVASCULAR MORTALITY
RCP 4.5	2041–2070	149.7 ( 31.8, 275.1)	42.1 ( 9.1, 76.0)	191.8 ( 40.9, 351.1)
	2071–2100	195.3 ( 41.1, 362.5)	98.4 ( 21.2, 177.9)	293.7 ( 62.4, 540.4)
RCP 8.5	2041–2070	240.4 ( 50.2, 450.2)	147.0 ( 31.6, 267.1)	387.4 ( 81.7, 717.3)
	2071–2100	411.4 ( 83.1, 796.7)	484.3 ( 102.0, 897.7)	895.7 ( 185.1, 1,694.4)

^a“Shifted” effect indicates excess mortality derived from hot days with upper 25% of daily mean temperature during future summer days.

^b“Added” effect indicates excess mortality due to added days with daily mean temperature over threshold in the future.