Table 1.
Agriculture output (O) | Host covariates (H) | Agriculture seasonality (A) | Climate/vegetation seasonality (C) | Human report AUC | NHP report AUC | Both report AUC | Brier score | ID | Overall rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.80 (0.73–0.87) | 0.78 (0.75–0.82) | 0.73 (0.69–0.77) | 0.019291 | O | 13 |
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 (0.78–0.90) | 0.81 (0.78–0.84) | 0.74 (0.70–0.78) | 0.019051 | H | 11 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.86 (0.81–0.91) | 0.84 (0.81–0.87) | 0.78 (0.74–0.81) | 0.019493 | OH | 15 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.76 (0.71–0.81) | 0.84 (0.81–0.86) | 0.69 (0.66–0.72) | 0.019302 | A | 14 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.84 (0.79–0.89) | 0.86 (0.83–0.89) | 0.79 (0.76–0.82) | 0.017762 | OA | 5 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 (0.84–0.92) | 0.90 (0.89–0.92) | 0.79 (0.76–0.82) | 0.018576 | HA | 9 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 (0.85–0.94) | 0.90 (0.89–0.92) | 0.83 (0.80–0.86) | 0.01708 | OHA | 2 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.85 (0.80–0.90) | 0.86 (0.84–0.89) | 0.70 (0.66–0.73) | 0.019285 | C | 12 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.89 (0.85–0.93) | 0.88 (0.86–0.90) | 0.78 (0.75–0.81) | 0.018159 | OC | 7 |
0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.91 (0.88–0.95) | 0.91 (0.89–0.93) | 0.79 (0.76–0.82) | 0.018399 | HC | 8 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 (0.89–0.95) | 0.90 (0.88–0.93) | 0.81 (0.78–0.84) | 0.01784 | OHC | 6 |
0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.87 (0.82–0.91) | 0.88 (0.85–0.90) | 0.77 (0.75–0.80) | 0.018636 | AC | 10 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.90 (0.86–0.94) | 0.89 (0.87–0.91) | 0.82 (0.79–0.85) | 0.01757 | OAC | 3 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.92 (0.89–0.96) | 0.92 (0.90–0.94) | 0.83 (0.80–0.86) | 0.01772 | HAC | 4 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.93 (0.90–0.96) | 0.92 (0.90–0.94) | 0.84 (0.81–0.87) | 0.01708 | OHAC | 1 |
The presence, 1, or absence, 0, of covariate groupings is shown with the corresponding out-of-sample AUC, Brier score and overall model rank. The best models according to Brier score are highlighted.