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. 2021 Jun 15;12:3647. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-23926-y

Table 1.

Human and NHP YF report models by covariate grouping.

Agriculture output (O) Host covariates (H) Agriculture seasonality (A) Climate/vegetation seasonality (C) Human report AUC NHP report AUC Both report AUC Brier score ID Overall rank
1 0 0 0 0.80 (0.73–0.87) 0.78 (0.75–0.82) 0.73 (0.69–0.77) 0.019291 O 13
0 1 0 0 0.84 (0.78–0.90) 0.81 (0.78–0.84) 0.74 (0.70–0.78) 0.019051 H 11
1 1 0 0 0.86 (0.81–0.91) 0.84 (0.81–0.87) 0.78 (0.74–0.81) 0.019493 OH 15
0 0 1 0 0.76 (0.71–0.81) 0.84 (0.81–0.86) 0.69 (0.66–0.72) 0.019302 A 14
1 0 1 0 0.84 (0.79–0.89) 0.86 (0.83–0.89) 0.79 (0.76–0.82) 0.017762 OA 5
0 1 1 0 0.88 (0.84–0.92) 0.90 (0.89–0.92) 0.79 (0.76–0.82) 0.018576 HA 9
1 1 1 0 0.89 (0.85–0.94) 0.90 (0.89–0.92) 0.83 (0.80–0.86) 0.01708 OHA 2
0 0 0 1 0.85 (0.80–0.90) 0.86 (0.84–0.89) 0.70 (0.66–0.73) 0.019285 C 12
1 0 0 1 0.89 (0.85–0.93) 0.88 (0.86–0.90) 0.78 (0.75–0.81) 0.018159 OC 7
0 1 0 1 0.91 (0.88–0.95) 0.91 (0.89–0.93) 0.79 (0.76–0.82) 0.018399 HC 8
1 1 0 1 0.92 (0.89–0.95) 0.90 (0.88–0.93) 0.81 (0.78–0.84) 0.01784 OHC 6
0 0 1 1 0.87 (0.82–0.91) 0.88 (0.85–0.90) 0.77 (0.75–0.80) 0.018636 AC 10
1 0 1 1 0.90 (0.86–0.94) 0.89 (0.87–0.91) 0.82 (0.79–0.85) 0.01757 OAC 3
0 1 1 1 0.92 (0.89–0.96) 0.92 (0.90–0.94) 0.83 (0.80–0.86) 0.01772 HAC 4
1 1 1 1 0.93 (0.90–0.96) 0.92 (0.90–0.94) 0.84 (0.81–0.87) 0.01708 OHAC 1

The presence, 1, or absence, 0, of covariate groupings is shown with the corresponding out-of-sample AUC, Brier score and overall model rank. The best models according to Brier score are highlighted.