Table 3.
Cox Proportional Hazard Regression to Predict Neonatal Mortality in Kersa HDSS from 2008 to 2019.
| Variable | Neonatal mortality |
Model 0 |
Model I |
Model II |
Model III |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Censored | Death | Cured hazard ratio | Adjusted Hazard ratio | Adjusted Hazard ratio | Adjusted Hazard ratio | |
| Maternal education | ||||||
| Literate | 12 878 (98.58) | 186 (1.42) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.000 |
| Read and write | 698 (97.76) | 16 (2.24) | 1.57 (0.94-2.62) | 1.10 (0.66-1.84) | 1.30 (0.70-2.42) | 1.42 (0.76-2.64) |
| Neither read nor write | 24 036 (97.72) | 562 (2.28) | 1.60 (1.36-1.89) | 1.06 (0.89-1.27) | 1.24 (1.12-1.55) | 1.18 (0.94-1.47) |
| Residence | ||||||
| Harar town | 5637 (99.61) | 22 (0.39) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.000 |
| Kersa rural | 29 428 (97.65) | 707 (2.35) | 6.07 (3.97-9.28) | 5.78 (3.72-8.97) | 4.53 (2.63-7.79) | 5.31 (3.07-9.18)* |
| Kersa semi urban | 2700 (98.72) | 35 (1.28) | 3.30 (1.93-5.63) | 3.22 (1.89-5.51) | 2.32 (1.18-4.57) | 2.52 (1.28-4.98)* |
| Parity | ||||||
| Prim para | 6400 (97.58) | 159 (2.42) | 1.37 (1.15-1.64) | 1.64 (1.33-2.02) | 1.61 (1.30-1.98)* | |
| Multi para | 29 751 (98.24) | 534 (1.76) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Receive antenatal care | ||||||
| Yes | 12 204 (98.93) | 132 (1.07) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| No | 14 424 (97.69) | 341 (2.31) | 2.16 (1.77-2.65) | 1.62 (1.30-2.02) | 1.43 (1.15-1.78)* | |
| Place of delivery | ||||||
| At home | 24 647 (97.82) | 548 (2.18) | 1.34 (1.14-1.57) | 0.72 (0.58-0.88) | NA | |
| At health facility | 13 118 (98.38) | 216 (1.62) | 1.00 | 1.00 | NA | |
| Age at 1st child birth | ||||||
| 20 and below | 30 193 (97.84) | 667 (2.16) | 1.73 (1.39-2.14) | 1.19 (0.91-1.56) | 1.21 (0.92-1.59) | |
| Above 20 | 7488 (98.75) | 95 (1.25) | 1.00 | 1.000 | 1.00 | |
| Birth weight | ||||||
| Small | 2273 (95.34) | 111 (4.66) | 3.29 (2.65-4.10) | 2.59 (2.05-3.27)* | ||
| Normal | 20 990 (98.57) | 304 (1.43) | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
| Large | 3111 (98.17) | 58 (1.83) | 1.28 (0.97-1.70) | 2.29 (1.70-3.08)* | ||
| Sex of neonate | ||||||
| Female | 17 943 (98.24) | 322 (1.76) | 1.000 | 1.00 | ||
| Male | 19 822 (97.76) | 454 (2.24) | 1.27 (1.10-1.46) | 1.19 (0.98-1.43) | ||
| Duration of pregnancy | ||||||
| Term | 27 484 (98.47) | 428 (1.53) | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
| Pre-term | 404 (77.10) | 120 (22.90) | 16.34 (13.35-20.02) | 12.10 (9.23-15.86)* | ||
| Post term | 9862 (97.86) | 216 (2.14) | 1.40 (1.18-1.64) | 0.95(0.69-1.32) | ||
Abbreviation: NA = not applicable. The first color indicate “sociodemographic” variable under model “1”;The second color indicate “reproductive health variable” under model “2”; The 3rd color indicate “Child related Variable” under model “3”.
*
Significantly associated with P < .05.