TABLE 2.
Joinpoint regression analysis for trends in incidence rate of thyroid cancer by histologic type
| Categories | Trend 1 | Trend 2 | Trend 3 | AAPC (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | APC (95% CI) | Years | APC (95% CI) | Years | APC (95% CI) | ||
| Men | |||||||
| Overall | 1999–2009 | 26.3 (21.7 to 31.1)* | 2009–2012 | 15.2 (−5.9 to 41.2) | 2012–2016 | −11.8 (−17.4 to −5.9)* | 14.2 (9.8 to 18.8)* |
| Papillary | 1999–2009 | 29.6 (24.6 to 34.7)* | 2009–2012 | 16.2 (−4.7 to 41.7) | 2012–2016 | −12.1 (−17.5 to −6.3)* | 16.0 (11.6 to 20.7)* |
| Follicular | 1999–2012 | 7.8 (5.5 to 10.2)* | 2012–2016 | −9.8 (−18.3 to −0.3) | ‐ | ‐ | 3.4 (0.7 to 6.1)* |
| Medullary | 1999–2012 | 8.7 (5. to 12.4)* | 2012–2016 | −12.4 (−24.7 to 1.8) | ‐ | ‐ | 3.3 (−0.7 to 7.5) |
| Anaplastic | 1999–2016 | 0.4 (−1.5 to 2.3) | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | 0.4 (−1.5 to 2.3) |
| Women | |||||||
| Overall | 1999‐2008 | 26.3 (22.0 to 30.8)* | 2008–2012 | 10.9 (1.7 to 21.0)* | 2012–2016 | −16.3 (−21.2 to −11.1)* | 11.2 (8.2 to 14.3)* |
| Papillary | 1999‐2009 | 26.1 (22.3 to 30.0)* | 2009–2012 | 9.1 (−8.6 to 30.2) | 2012–2016 | −16.2 (−21.3 to −10.7)* | 11.7 (7.9 to 15.6)* |
| Follicular | 1999‐2012 | 4.4 (2.6 to 6.1)* | 2012–2016 | −9.4 (−17.2 to −0.8) | ‐ | ‐ | 0.9 (−1.3 to 3.2) |
| Medullary | 1999‐2012 | 8.6 (5.8 to 11.4)* | 2012–2016 | −19.8 (‐30.0 to −8.2)* | ‐ | ‐ | 1.1 (−2.3 to 4.6) |
| Anaplastic | 1999‐2016 | −1.4 (−3.4 to 0.7) | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | ‐ | −1.4 (−3.4 to 0.7) |
The age‐standardized incidence rates are calculated as incidence cases per 100,000 people using Segi’s world standard population.
Abbreviations: 95% CI, 95% Confidence intervalAAPC, Average annual percent change; APC, Annual percent change.
p‐value <0.05