Fig 5.

Late 20^th century disease and transmission-risk models in the Indian peninsula (A) and South America (B). These models were calibrated according to human-dengue cases from the late 20^th century (Fig 2A). The locations of dengue cases recorded in the late 20^th and the early 21^st centuries are shown in order to illustrate the predictive capacity of these models (see explanations and implications in the main text). See early 21^st-century models and data for these areas in S8 Fig. Coast lines source: https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/FAO_GAUL_2015_level0.