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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Prev Res (Phila). 2020 Sep 17;13(11):893–896. doi: 10.1158/1940-6207.CAPR-20-0447

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Scenarios for cancer prevention after COVID-19 surges. Scenario A indicates a rapid recovery under 1 year with fairly rapid clearance of the backlog. Scenario B depicts a delayed return to historical screening trends over 1–3 years, with a much longer clearance of backlog over several years. Scenario C depicts a situation in which we never get back to historical trends, creating a public health crisis. Delays in returning to baseline or higher levels of screening with reverse gains, causing additional preventable deaths from cancer. Estimates for excess deaths are from a baseline of delay of 6-months for breast and colorectal cancers as modeled in Sharpless (12).